Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including U.S.-Iran frictions and risks to Strait of Hormuz shipments, have lifted WTI crude prices to around $84 per barrel as of mid-August 2026, up over 7% in the past month amid tighter inventories and precautionary buying. This remains far below the $147.27 all-time high set in July 2008, with trader sentiment reflecting a modest risk premium rather than sustained fundamentals to close the gap. EIA and J.P. Morgan forecasts point to averages near $85–$86 in Q3 2026 before easing toward $78–$80 by year-end as supply recovers and inventories rebuild. Key near-term catalysts include any resolution of Hormuz disruptions, OPEC+ output decisions, global demand signals from China, and broader macroeconomic data on growth and inflation that could influence energy consumption. Market-implied odds currently embed these uncertain supply-side drivers against ample global production capacity.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCrude Oil all time high by...?
$2,487,531 Vol.
September 30
4%
December 31
13%
$2,487,531 Vol.
September 30
4%
December 31
13%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including U.S.-Iran frictions and risks to Strait of Hormuz shipments, have lifted WTI crude prices to around $84 per barrel as of mid-August 2026, up over 7% in the past month amid tighter inventories and precautionary buying. This remains far below the $147.27 all-time high set in July 2008, with trader sentiment reflecting a modest risk premium rather than sustained fundamentals to close the gap. EIA and J.P. Morgan forecasts point to averages near $85–$86 in Q3 2026 before easing toward $78–$80 by year-end as supply recovers and inventories rebuild. Key near-term catalysts include any resolution of Hormuz disruptions, OPEC+ output decisions, global demand signals from China, and broader macroeconomic data on growth and inflation that could influence energy consumption. Market-implied odds currently embed these uncertain supply-side drivers against ample global production capacity.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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