Ongoing Pakistani-mediated negotiations between the US and Iran have advanced toward a memorandum to end the 2026 Iran war, with both sides signaling a 30-day window for resolving sticking points like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, driving trader consensus at 73.5% against a US ground invasion before 2027. Since the February 28 airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury—which achieved US air superiority, degraded Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and prompted regime changes without boots on the ground—escalations have remained limited to naval blockades and sporadic exchanges, including US strikes on Iranian targets after reported Hormuz incidents on May 7. President Trump's emphasis on diplomacy over further military action, amid economic pressures from oil disruptions, reinforces the low appetite for a costly occupation amid fragile truce compliance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডমার্কিন যুক্তরাষ্ট্র কি ২০২৭ সালের আগে ইরান আক্রমণ করবে?
মার্কিন যুক্তরাষ্ট্র কি ২০২৭ সালের আগে ইরান আক্রমণ করবে?
হ্যাঁ
$28,226,362 Vol.
$28,226,362 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$28,226,362 Vol.
$28,226,362 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Ongoing Pakistani-mediated negotiations between the US and Iran have advanced toward a memorandum to end the 2026 Iran war, with both sides signaling a 30-day window for resolving sticking points like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, driving trader consensus at 73.5% against a US ground invasion before 2027. Since the February 28 airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury—which achieved US air superiority, degraded Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and prompted regime changes without boots on the ground—escalations have remained limited to naval blockades and sporadic exchanges, including US strikes on Iranian targets after reported Hormuz incidents on May 7. President Trump's emphasis on diplomacy over further military action, amid economic pressures from oil disruptions, reinforces the low appetite for a costly occupation amid fragile truce compliance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
ভলিউম
$28,226,362শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Ongoing Pakistani-mediated negotiations between the US and Iran have advanced toward a memorandum to end the 2026 Iran war, with both sides signaling a 30-day window for resolving sticking points like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, driving trader consensus at 73.5% against a US ground invasion before 2027. Since the February 28 airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury—which achieved US air superiority, degraded Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and prompted regime changes without boots on the ground—escalations have remained limited to naval blockades and sporadic exchanges, including US strikes on Iranian targets after reported Hormuz incidents on May 7. President Trump's emphasis on diplomacy over further military action, amid economic pressures from oil disruptions, reinforces the low appetite for a costly occupation amid fragile truce compliance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ভলিউম
$28,226,388শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Pakistani-mediated negotiations between the US and Iran have advanced toward a memorandum to end the 2026 Iran war, with both sides signaling a 30-day window for resolving sticking points like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, driving trader consensus at 73.5% against a US ground invasion before 2027. Since the February 28 airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury—which achieved US air superiority, degraded Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and prompted regime changes without boots on the ground—escalations have remained limited to naval blockades and sporadic exchanges, including US strikes on Iranian targets after reported Hormuz incidents on May 7. President Trump's emphasis on diplomacy over further military action, amid economic pressures from oil disruptions, reinforces the low appetite for a costly occupation amid fragile truce compliance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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