Recent U.S.-Iran tensions escalated into joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in late February 2026, triggering weeks of missile exchanges and regional disruption before an April ceasefire. Negotiations produced a June memorandum of understanding that lifted naval blockades, eased some sanctions, and launched talks on the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear issues, with mediators including Pakistan and Oman. Renewed Iranian restrictions on Hormuz traffic prompted limited U.S. strikes in July and August, yet officials have prioritized economic pressure, asset releases tied to verified steps, and reconstruction commitments over ground operations. Logistical demands, War Powers constraints, and the preference for containment through air and naval means rather than occupation continue to shape trader consensus against a U.S. invasion before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডমার্কিন যুক্তরাষ্ট্র কি ২০২৭ সালের আগে ইরান আক্রমণ করবে?
মার্কিন যুক্তরাষ্ট্র কি ২০২৭ সালের আগে ইরান আক্রমণ করবে?
হ্যাঁ
18% সম্ভাবনা
$58,563,168 Vol.
$58,563,168 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
18% সম্ভাবনা
$58,563,168 Vol.
$58,563,168 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent U.S.-Iran tensions escalated into joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in late February 2026, triggering weeks of missile exchanges and regional disruption before an April ceasefire. Negotiations produced a June memorandum of understanding that lifted naval blockades, eased some sanctions, and launched talks on the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear issues, with mediators including Pakistan and Oman. Renewed Iranian restrictions on Hormuz traffic prompted limited U.S. strikes in July and August, yet officials have prioritized economic pressure, asset releases tied to verified steps, and reconstruction commitments over ground operations. Logistical demands, War Powers constraints, and the preference for containment through air and naval means rather than occupation continue to shape trader consensus against a U.S. invasion before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
ভলিউম
$58,563,168শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent U.S.-Iran tensions escalated into joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in late February 2026, triggering weeks of missile exchanges and regional disruption before an April ceasefire. Negotiations produced a June memorandum of understanding that lifted naval blockades, eased some sanctions, and launched talks on the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear issues, with mediators including Pakistan and Oman. Renewed Iranian restrictions on Hormuz traffic prompted limited U.S. strikes in July and August, yet officials have prioritized economic pressure, asset releases tied to verified steps, and reconstruction commitments over ground operations. Logistical demands, War Powers constraints, and the preference for containment through air and naval means rather than occupation continue to shape trader consensus against a U.S. invasion before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ভলিউম
$58,563,177শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran tensions escalated into joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in late February 2026, triggering weeks of missile exchanges and regional disruption before an April ceasefire. Negotiations produced a June memorandum of understanding that lifted naval blockades, eased some sanctions, and launched talks on the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear issues, with mediators including Pakistan and Oman. Renewed Iranian restrictions on Hormuz traffic prompted limited U.S. strikes in July and August, yet officials have prioritized economic pressure, asset releases tied to verified steps, and reconstruction commitments over ground operations. Logistical demands, War Powers constraints, and the preference for containment through air and naval means rather than occupation continue to shape trader consensus against a U.S. invasion before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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