Mojtaba Khamenei assumed the role of Iran’s Supreme Leader in March 2026 after his father’s assassination in a February US-Israeli strike. He has remained absent from public view for over six months, governing through written statements while regime sources cite assassination risks as the reason for his seclusion in a secure domestic location, likely Tehran or a bunker. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed in mid-September 2026 that Khamenei is alive, in authority, and exercising final decision-making power. Reports of injuries from the initial attack persist, yet no verified information indicates plans for medical treatment or relocation abroad. Trader assessments reflect these security constraints and institutional continuity pressures, with any departure hinging on shifts in conflict dynamics, health disclosures, or internal power arrangements before the market’s resolution date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$117,848 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
October 31
3%
December 31
5%
$117,848 Vol.
October 31
$119 Vol.
3%
December 31
$816 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed the role of Iran’s Supreme Leader in March 2026 after his father’s assassination in a February US-Israeli strike. He has remained absent from public view for over six months, governing through written statements while regime sources cite assassination risks as the reason for his seclusion in a secure domestic location, likely Tehran or a bunker. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed in mid-September 2026 that Khamenei is alive, in authority, and exercising final decision-making power. Reports of injuries from the initial attack persist, yet no verified information indicates plans for medical treatment or relocation abroad. Trader assessments reflect these security constraints and institutional continuity pressures, with any departure hinging on shifts in conflict dynamics, health disclosures, or internal power arrangements before the market’s resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
ভলিউম
$117,848শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed the role of Iran’s Supreme Leader in March 2026 after his father’s assassination in a February US-Israeli strike. He has remained absent from public view for over six months, governing through written statements while regime sources cite assassination risks as the reason for his seclusion in a secure domestic location, likely Tehran or a bunker. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed in mid-September 2026 that Khamenei is alive, in authority, and exercising final decision-making power. Reports of injuries from the initial attack persist, yet no verified information indicates plans for medical treatment or relocation abroad. Trader assessments reflect these security constraints and institutional continuity pressures, with any departure hinging on shifts in conflict dynamics, health disclosures, or internal power arrangements before the market’s resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$117,848শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed the role of Iran’s Supreme Leader in March 2026 after his father’s assassination in a February US-Israeli strike. He has remained absent from public view for over six months, governing through written statements while regime sources cite assassination risks as the reason for his seclusion in a secure domestic location, likely Tehran or a bunker. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed in mid-September 2026 that Khamenei is alive, in authority, and exercising final decision-making power. Reports of injuries from the initial attack persist, yet no verified information indicates plans for medical treatment or relocation abroad. Trader assessments reflect these security constraints and institutional continuity pressures, with any departure hinging on shifts in conflict dynamics, health disclosures, or internal power arrangements before the market’s resolution date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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