Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide or near-total internet disruptions in 2026, including an 88-day record blackout from late February to late May amid anti-government protests sparked by economic collapse and a subsequent period of military conflict. These measures relied on BGP route withdrawals, traffic throttling, and the national information network to sever international connectivity while maintaining limited domestic services. Partial restoration occurred in May under a tiered whitelist system, yet connectivity remains well below pre-2026 levels, major platforms stay blocked or throttled, and VPN effectiveness has declined. A new draft cyberspace regulation bill advancing in parliament could further centralize control over gateways and expand filtering. Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on signs of renewed widespread protests, economic deterioration, or security escalations that historically prompt such responses, alongside the government’s demonstrated technical capacity for rapid, comprehensive cuts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$248,500 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
2%
December 31
24%
$248,500 Vol.
September 30
$6,574 Vol.
2%
December 31
$12,475 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide or near-total internet disruptions in 2026, including an 88-day record blackout from late February to late May amid anti-government protests sparked by economic collapse and a subsequent period of military conflict. These measures relied on BGP route withdrawals, traffic throttling, and the national information network to sever international connectivity while maintaining limited domestic services. Partial restoration occurred in May under a tiered whitelist system, yet connectivity remains well below pre-2026 levels, major platforms stay blocked or throttled, and VPN effectiveness has declined. A new draft cyberspace regulation bill advancing in parliament could further centralize control over gateways and expand filtering. Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on signs of renewed widespread protests, economic deterioration, or security escalations that historically prompt such responses, alongside the government’s demonstrated technical capacity for rapid, comprehensive cuts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$248,500শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide or near-total internet disruptions in 2026, including an 88-day record blackout from late February to late May amid anti-government protests sparked by economic collapse and a subsequent period of military conflict. These measures relied on BGP route withdrawals, traffic throttling, and the national information network to sever international connectivity while maintaining limited domestic services. Partial restoration occurred in May under a tiered whitelist system, yet connectivity remains well below pre-2026 levels, major platforms stay blocked or throttled, and VPN effectiveness has declined. A new draft cyberspace regulation bill advancing in parliament could further centralize control over gateways and expand filtering. Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on signs of renewed widespread protests, economic deterioration, or security escalations that historically prompt such responses, alongside the government’s demonstrated technical capacity for rapid, comprehensive cuts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$248,500শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide or near-total internet disruptions in 2026, including an 88-day record blackout from late February to late May amid anti-government protests sparked by economic collapse and a subsequent period of military conflict. These measures relied on BGP route withdrawals, traffic throttling, and the national information network to sever international connectivity while maintaining limited domestic services. Partial restoration occurred in May under a tiered whitelist system, yet connectivity remains well below pre-2026 levels, major platforms stay blocked or throttled, and VPN effectiveness has declined. A new draft cyberspace regulation bill advancing in parliament could further centralize control over gateways and expand filtering. Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on signs of renewed widespread protests, economic deterioration, or security escalations that historically prompt such responses, alongside the government’s demonstrated technical capacity for rapid, comprehensive cuts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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