Iran's Islamic Penal Code and constitution, rooted in Sharia principles and overseen by the Guardian Council, explicitly criminalize same-sex relations with penalties up to execution, creating structural barriers to any recognition of same-sex marriage. The theocratic governance structure under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, combined with conservative dominance in the Majlis and absence of legislative proposals or reform efforts through 2026, sustains trader consensus at 98.1% against legalization by year-end. No policy shifts, court rulings, or diplomatic developments have altered this framework. Only improbable scenarios such as post-Khamenei leadership transition or fundamental regime upheaval could open pathways for change within the market resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড2% সম্ভাবনা
$79,273 Vol.
$79,273 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
2% সম্ভাবনা
$79,273 Vol.
$79,273 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Penal Code and constitution, rooted in Sharia principles and overseen by the Guardian Council, explicitly criminalize same-sex relations with penalties up to execution, creating structural barriers to any recognition of same-sex marriage. The theocratic governance structure under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, combined with conservative dominance in the Majlis and absence of legislative proposals or reform efforts through 2026, sustains trader consensus at 98.1% against legalization by year-end. No policy shifts, court rulings, or diplomatic developments have altered this framework. Only improbable scenarios such as post-Khamenei leadership transition or fundamental regime upheaval could open pathways for change within the market resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
ভলিউম
$79,273শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Penal Code and constitution, rooted in Sharia principles and overseen by the Guardian Council, explicitly criminalize same-sex relations with penalties up to execution, creating structural barriers to any recognition of same-sex marriage. The theocratic governance structure under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, combined with conservative dominance in the Majlis and absence of legislative proposals or reform efforts through 2026, sustains trader consensus at 98.1% against legalization by year-end. No policy shifts, court rulings, or diplomatic developments have altered this framework. Only improbable scenarios such as post-Khamenei leadership transition or fundamental regime upheaval could open pathways for change within the market resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$79,273শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Iran's Islamic Penal Code and constitution, rooted in Sharia principles and overseen by the Guardian Council, explicitly criminalize same-sex relations with penalties up to execution, creating structural barriers to any recognition of same-sex marriage. The theocratic governance structure under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, combined with conservative dominance in the Majlis and absence of legislative proposals or reform efforts through 2026, sustains trader consensus at 98.1% against legalization by year-end. No policy shifts, court rulings, or diplomatic developments have altered this framework. Only improbable scenarios such as post-Khamenei leadership transition or fundamental regime upheaval could open pathways for change within the market resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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