Despite active US military engagements with Iran since late February 2026—including airstrikes alongside Israel—Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war, driving trader consensus to low implied probabilities around 8% for any such action by December 31. A fragile ceasefire agreed on April 8 has held tenuously amid recent fire exchanges last week and President Trump's May 11 description of it as "on life support," while the administration signals diplomacy by pausing escalatory operations and responding to Iranian peace proposals focused on ending hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. GOP lawmakers blocked a war powers resolution on May 2, underscoring congressional aversion to authorization amid a $30 billion Pentagon bill and global energy strains, with negotiations remaining the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডআমেরিকা কি আনুষ্ঠানিকভাবে ইরানের বিরুদ্ধে যুদ্ধ ঘোষণা করবে...?
আমেরিকা কি আনুষ্ঠানিকভাবে ইরানের বিরুদ্ধে যুদ্ধ ঘোষণা করবে...?
$7,519,379 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
8%
$7,519,379 Vol.
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
$546,745 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite active US military engagements with Iran since late February 2026—including airstrikes alongside Israel—Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war, driving trader consensus to low implied probabilities around 8% for any such action by December 31. A fragile ceasefire agreed on April 8 has held tenuously amid recent fire exchanges last week and President Trump's May 11 description of it as "on life support," while the administration signals diplomacy by pausing escalatory operations and responding to Iranian peace proposals focused on ending hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. GOP lawmakers blocked a war powers resolution on May 2, underscoring congressional aversion to authorization amid a $30 billion Pentagon bill and global energy strains, with negotiations remaining the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
ভলিউম
$7,519,379শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite active US military engagements with Iran since late February 2026—including airstrikes alongside Israel—Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war, driving trader consensus to low implied probabilities around 8% for any such action by December 31. A fragile ceasefire agreed on April 8 has held tenuously amid recent fire exchanges last week and President Trump's May 11 description of it as "on life support," while the administration signals diplomacy by pausing escalatory operations and responding to Iranian peace proposals focused on ending hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. GOP lawmakers blocked a war powers resolution on May 2, underscoring congressional aversion to authorization amid a $30 billion Pentagon bill and global energy strains, with negotiations remaining the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$7,519,379শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite active US military engagements with Iran since late February 2026—including airstrikes alongside Israel—Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war, driving trader consensus to low implied probabilities around 8% for any such action by December 31. A fragile ceasefire agreed on April 8 has held tenuously amid recent fire exchanges last week and President Trump's May 11 description of it as "on life support," while the administration signals diplomacy by pausing escalatory operations and responding to Iranian peace proposals focused on ending hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. GOP lawmakers blocked a war powers resolution on May 2, underscoring congressional aversion to authorization amid a $30 billion Pentagon bill and global energy strains, with negotiations remaining the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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