US military strikes on Abu Musa Island and Greater Tunb in recent days, part of broader escalation over Strait of Hormuz access, have intensified focus on the long-disputed Persian Gulf territory Iran has administered since 1971. The UAE continues to assert sovereignty claims over Abu Musa alongside the Tunbs, while Iranian forces maintain Revolutionary Guard bases, missiles, and air defenses there. Speculation centers on whether strikes could precede multinational efforts to reopen maritime routes or alter effective control, though no confirmed occupation or handover has occurred. These developments, amid ongoing Iran-Gulf state tensions, shape trader assessments of near-term shifts in administration.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
নতুন
Jul 31, 2026
July 31
2%
August 31
4%
$701 Vol.
July 31
$541 Vol.
2%
August 31
$161 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US military strikes on Abu Musa Island and Greater Tunb in recent days, part of broader escalation over Strait of Hormuz access, have intensified focus on the long-disputed Persian Gulf territory Iran has administered since 1971. The UAE continues to assert sovereignty claims over Abu Musa alongside the Tunbs, while Iranian forces maintain Revolutionary Guard bases, missiles, and air defenses there. Speculation centers on whether strikes could precede multinational efforts to reopen maritime routes or alter effective control, though no confirmed occupation or handover has occurred. These developments, amid ongoing Iran-Gulf state tensions, shape trader assessments of near-term shifts in administration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
ভলিউম
$701শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US military strikes on Abu Musa Island and Greater Tunb in recent days, part of broader escalation over Strait of Hormuz access, have intensified focus on the long-disputed Persian Gulf territory Iran has administered since 1971. The UAE continues to assert sovereignty claims over Abu Musa alongside the Tunbs, while Iranian forces maintain Revolutionary Guard bases, missiles, and air defenses there. Speculation centers on whether strikes could precede multinational efforts to reopen maritime routes or alter effective control, though no confirmed occupation or handover has occurred. These developments, amid ongoing Iran-Gulf state tensions, shape trader assessments of near-term shifts in administration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$701শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military strikes on Abu Musa Island and Greater Tunb in recent days, part of broader escalation over Strait of Hormuz access, have intensified focus on the long-disputed Persian Gulf territory Iran has administered since 1971. The UAE continues to assert sovereignty claims over Abu Musa alongside the Tunbs, while Iranian forces maintain Revolutionary Guard bases, missiles, and air defenses there. Speculation centers on whether strikes could precede multinational efforts to reopen maritime routes or alter effective control, though no confirmed occupation or handover has occurred. These developments, amid ongoing Iran-Gulf state tensions, shape trader assessments of near-term shifts in administration.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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