**Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress continue to block any realistic path to removal before the end of 2026.** Articles of impeachment introduced by Rep. Al Green in August 2026 remain symbolic, with no prospect of House passage absent a midterm shift that would not take effect until January 2027. No credible reports indicate health concerns sufficient to trigger the 25th Amendment, resignation plans, or other exit scenarios. President Trump has remained active, issuing numerous executive orders on immigration, trade, national security, and domestic policy while maintaining a public schedule. Traders therefore assign roughly 93.5% probability to “No,” reflecting the institutional barriers and lack of near-term catalysts that historically precede early presidential departures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$11,158,721 Vol.
$11,158,721 Vol.
হ্যাঁ
$11,158,721 Vol.
$11,158,721 Vol.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress continue to block any realistic path to removal before the end of 2026.** Articles of impeachment introduced by Rep. Al Green in August 2026 remain symbolic, with no prospect of House passage absent a midterm shift that would not take effect until January 2027. No credible reports indicate health concerns sufficient to trigger the 25th Amendment, resignation plans, or other exit scenarios. President Trump has remained active, issuing numerous executive orders on immigration, trade, national security, and domestic policy while maintaining a public schedule. Traders therefore assign roughly 93.5% probability to “No,” reflecting the institutional barriers and lack of near-term catalysts that historically precede early presidential departures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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