The U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine from May 9 to 11, 2026, which included a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange, represents the most recent diplomatic development shaping expectations for a formal agreement. Both governments publicly confirmed the mutual suspension of kinetic operations around Russia's Victory Day commemorations, following February trilateral talks in Geneva that advanced monitoring mechanisms. President Trump described the pause as a potential starting point for broader negotiations, while President Putin signaled openness to further dialogue. Reports of violations during the truce, including continued frontline activity, highlight enforcement challenges typical in prior temporary halts. With the May 31 resolution window approaching, traders are assessing whether these steps signal momentum toward a verified, lasting ceasefire or remain limited to short-term de-escalation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$566,960 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
May 31
3%
June 30
12%
October 31
37%
December 31
49%
$566,960 Vol.
May 31
$235,859 Vol.
3%
June 30
$190,513 Vol.
12%
October 31
$48,185 Vol.
37%
December 31
$92,403 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine from May 9 to 11, 2026, which included a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange, represents the most recent diplomatic development shaping expectations for a formal agreement. Both governments publicly confirmed the mutual suspension of kinetic operations around Russia's Victory Day commemorations, following February trilateral talks in Geneva that advanced monitoring mechanisms. President Trump described the pause as a potential starting point for broader negotiations, while President Putin signaled openness to further dialogue. Reports of violations during the truce, including continued frontline activity, highlight enforcement challenges typical in prior temporary halts. With the May 31 resolution window approaching, traders are assessing whether these steps signal momentum toward a verified, lasting ceasefire or remain limited to short-term de-escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$566,960শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine from May 9 to 11, 2026, which included a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange, represents the most recent diplomatic development shaping expectations for a formal agreement. Both governments publicly confirmed the mutual suspension of kinetic operations around Russia's Victory Day commemorations, following February trilateral talks in Geneva that advanced monitoring mechanisms. President Trump described the pause as a potential starting point for broader negotiations, while President Putin signaled openness to further dialogue. Reports of violations during the truce, including continued frontline activity, highlight enforcement challenges typical in prior temporary halts. With the May 31 resolution window approaching, traders are assessing whether these steps signal momentum toward a verified, lasting ceasefire or remain limited to short-term de-escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$566,960শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine from May 9 to 11, 2026, which included a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange, represents the most recent diplomatic development shaping expectations for a formal agreement. Both governments publicly confirmed the mutual suspension of kinetic operations around Russia's Victory Day commemorations, following February trilateral talks in Geneva that advanced monitoring mechanisms. President Trump described the pause as a potential starting point for broader negotiations, while President Putin signaled openness to further dialogue. Reports of violations during the truce, including continued frontline activity, highlight enforcement challenges typical in prior temporary halts. With the May 31 resolution window approaching, traders are assessing whether these steps signal momentum toward a verified, lasting ceasefire or remain limited to short-term de-escalation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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