Haiti enters the 2026 World Cup Group C as the clear underdog by a wide margin, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to the side finishing last due to its lower FIFA ranking, limited recent international success, and historical struggles against stronger opposition. Scotland sits as a distant second in the market, reflecting modest expectations based on its ranking and past tournament results, while Morocco and Brazil trade at minimal levels consistent with their superior squads, experience, and projected ability to secure points. No matches have been played yet, leaving positioning driven by pre-tournament form, roster depth, and head-to-head context rather than current results. The group stage opens in mid-June, so any late roster updates or fitness issues could still influence outcomes.