xAI's Grok models currently sit at 12-14% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Tiers 1-3, a set of 300 unpublished, research-level math problems designed to resist data contamination and require hours or days of expert effort per question. This places them well behind leaders like OpenAI's o-series variants and GPT-5 iterations, which have posted scores in the mid-20s to low-50s in recent independent evaluations. With only days remaining until the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline and no confirmed Grok updates or capability jumps announced in the past month, trader sentiment reflects the narrow window for any rapid improvement. Competitive dynamics in advanced reasoning benchmarks continue to favor labs with stronger demonstrated tool use and scaling on math-specific tasks, though xAI's focus on unique problem-solving strengths has occasionally yielded novel solves on FrontierMath.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$24,109 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
40%+
96%
50%+
<1%
$24,109 Vol.
40%+
$3,582 Vol.
96%
50%+
$379 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently sit at 12-14% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Tiers 1-3, a set of 300 unpublished, research-level math problems designed to resist data contamination and require hours or days of expert effort per question. This places them well behind leaders like OpenAI's o-series variants and GPT-5 iterations, which have posted scores in the mid-20s to low-50s in recent independent evaluations. With only days remaining until the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline and no confirmed Grok updates or capability jumps announced in the past month, trader sentiment reflects the narrow window for any rapid improvement. Competitive dynamics in advanced reasoning benchmarks continue to favor labs with stronger demonstrated tool use and scaling on math-specific tasks, though xAI's focus on unique problem-solving strengths has occasionally yielded novel solves on FrontierMath.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ভলিউম
$24,109শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently sit at 12-14% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Tiers 1-3, a set of 300 unpublished, research-level math problems designed to resist data contamination and require hours or days of expert effort per question. This places them well behind leaders like OpenAI's o-series variants and GPT-5 iterations, which have posted scores in the mid-20s to low-50s in recent independent evaluations. With only days remaining until the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline and no confirmed Grok updates or capability jumps announced in the past month, trader sentiment reflects the narrow window for any rapid improvement. Competitive dynamics in advanced reasoning benchmarks continue to favor labs with stronger demonstrated tool use and scaling on math-specific tasks, though xAI's focus on unique problem-solving strengths has occasionally yielded novel solves on FrontierMath.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$24,109শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's Grok models currently sit at 12-14% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Tiers 1-3, a set of 300 unpublished, research-level math problems designed to resist data contamination and require hours or days of expert effort per question. This places them well behind leaders like OpenAI's o-series variants and GPT-5 iterations, which have posted scores in the mid-20s to low-50s in recent independent evaluations. With only days remaining until the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline and no confirmed Grok updates or capability jumps announced in the past month, trader sentiment reflects the narrow window for any rapid improvement. Competitive dynamics in advanced reasoning benchmarks continue to favor labs with stronger demonstrated tool use and scaling on math-specific tasks, though xAI's focus on unique problem-solving strengths has occasionally yielded novel solves on FrontierMath.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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