Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX at 87% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially dwarfing historical records—bolstered by the February merger with xAI, integrating advanced AI for Starship autonomy and Starlink optimization amid 9 million subscribers and record launch cadence. Recent catalysts include a planned June 8 roadshow and reports of $1.5 trillion private valuation, cementing its lead despite execution risks like regulatory hurdles or Starship delays. xAI lingers at 25.5% on merger synergies, while Anthropic's 7.5% reflects early-2026 IPO whispers at $300 billion-plus valuations; OpenAI trails amid Q4 timing and massive private funding. Upcoming roadshows and filings could shift dynamics rapidly.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডস্পেসএক্স 87%
Anthropic 7.5%
OpenAI 2.8%
ক্র্যাকেন 1.0%
$1,855,853 Vol.
$1,855,853 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
স্পেসএক্স
87%
Anthropic
8%
OpenAI
3%
ক্র্যাকেন
1%
ডিসকর্ড
<1%
বাইটডান্স
<1%
স্ট্রাইপ
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
পারপ্লেক্সিটি এআই
<1%
ডাটাব্রিক্স
<1%
স্পেসএক্স 87%
Anthropic 7.5%
OpenAI 2.8%
ক্র্যাকেন 1.0%
$1,855,853 Vol.
$1,855,853 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
স্পেসএক্স
$223,948 Vol.
87%
Anthropic
$358,253 Vol.
8%
OpenAI
$331,268 Vol.
3%
ক্র্যাকেন
$385,145 Vol.
1%
ডিসকর্ড
$80,777 Vol.
<1%
বাইটডান্স
$98,010 Vol.
<1%
স্ট্রাইপ
$50,552 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$69,363 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$56,872 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$50,649 Vol.
<1%
পারপ্লেক্সিটি এআই
$66,679 Vol.
<1%
ডাটাব্রিক্স
$84,379 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX at 87% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially dwarfing historical records—bolstered by the February merger with xAI, integrating advanced AI for Starship autonomy and Starlink optimization amid 9 million subscribers and record launch cadence. Recent catalysts include a planned June 8 roadshow and reports of $1.5 trillion private valuation, cementing its lead despite execution risks like regulatory hurdles or Starship delays. xAI lingers at 25.5% on merger synergies, while Anthropic's 7.5% reflects early-2026 IPO whispers at $300 billion-plus valuations; OpenAI trails amid Q4 timing and massive private funding. Upcoming roadshows and filings could shift dynamics rapidly.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,855,853শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX at 87% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially dwarfing historical records—bolstered by the February merger with xAI, integrating advanced AI for Starship autonomy and Starlink optimization amid 9 million subscribers and record launch cadence. Recent catalysts include a planned June 8 roadshow and reports of $1.5 trillion private valuation, cementing its lead despite execution risks like regulatory hurdles or Starship delays. xAI lingers at 25.5% on merger synergies, while Anthropic's 7.5% reflects early-2026 IPO whispers at $300 billion-plus valuations; OpenAI trails amid Q4 timing and massive private funding. Upcoming roadshows and filings could shift dynamics rapidly.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ভলিউম
$1,855,853শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX at 87% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially dwarfing historical records—bolstered by the February merger with xAI, integrating advanced AI for Starship autonomy and Starlink optimization amid 9 million subscribers and record launch cadence. Recent catalysts include a planned June 8 roadshow and reports of $1.5 trillion private valuation, cementing its lead despite execution risks like regulatory hurdles or Starship delays. xAI lingers at 25.5% on merger synergies, while Anthropic's 7.5% reflects early-2026 IPO whispers at $300 billion-plus valuations; OpenAI trails amid Q4 timing and massive private funding. Upcoming roadshows and filings could shift dynamics rapidly.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা