The Weeknd holds the strongest market-implied odds for finishing November as Spotify's #2 artist because he currently ranks second in monthly listeners at roughly 117 million, trailing only Bruno Mars while edging Rihanna by a narrow and fluctuating margin. Consistent catalog streams from tracks like "Blinding Lights" and "Starboy" have sustained his position through early November without major new releases disrupting the leaderboard. Rihanna sits close enough that daily listener swings could narrow or reverse the gap, yet traders assign her far lower probability. Artists further back, including Justin Bieber, Lady Gaga, and Taylor Swift, trail by wider margins that historical patterns suggest are unlikely to close before month-end absent unexpected surges in new music or viral moments. The market reflects trader consensus on these steady trajectories rather than any single breaking development.