Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open market at 46% implied probability thanks to his commanding 2026 form, including multiple Masters 1000 titles on hard courts and a reclaimed world No. 1 ranking after defeating Carlos Alcaraz in the Monte Carlo final. Alcaraz sits second at 32.5% but trails due to an ongoing right wrist injury that has sidelined him from the clay swing and raises questions about his readiness for the hard-court summer. Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev follow well behind at 4.3% and 3.1%, reflecting limited recent momentum against the top two. Traders weigh Sinner’s consistency and serve improvements against Alcaraz’s proven hard-court pedigree and recovery timeline as the North American swing approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJannik Sinner 46%
Carlos Alcaraz 32%
Novak Djokovic 4.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.3%
$1,444,620 Vol.
$1,444,620 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
46%
Carlos Alcaraz
32%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Holger Rune
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Jannik Sinner 46%
Carlos Alcaraz 32%
Novak Djokovic 4.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.3%
$1,444,620 Vol.
$1,444,620 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
46%
Carlos Alcaraz
32%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Holger Rune
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open market at 46% implied probability thanks to his commanding 2026 form, including multiple Masters 1000 titles on hard courts and a reclaimed world No. 1 ranking after defeating Carlos Alcaraz in the Monte Carlo final. Alcaraz sits second at 32.5% but trails due to an ongoing right wrist injury that has sidelined him from the clay swing and raises questions about his readiness for the hard-court summer. Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev follow well behind at 4.3% and 3.1%, reflecting limited recent momentum against the top two. Traders weigh Sinner’s consistency and serve improvements against Alcaraz’s proven hard-court pedigree and recovery timeline as the North American swing approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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