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2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader

icon for 2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader
Sport·PGA

2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader

Alex Smalley 49%

Nicolai Højgaard 49%

Gary Woodland 49%

Justin Thomas 49%

Polymarket
NEU

Alex Smalley 49%

Nicolai Højgaard 49%

Gary Woodland 49%

Justin Thomas 49%

Polymarket
NEU

Alex Smalley

$0 Vol.

49%

Nicolai Højgaard

$0 Vol.

49%

Gary Woodland

$0 Vol.

49%

Justin Thomas

$0 Vol.

49%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

49%

Xander Schauffele

$0 Vol.

49%

Robert MacIntyre

$0 Vol.

49%

Sepp Straka

$0 Vol.

49%

Tyrrell Hatton

$0 Vol.

49%

Bud Cauley

$0 Vol.

49%

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

49%

Carlos Ortiz

$0 Vol.

49%

Laurie Canter

$0 Vol.

49%

Joaquin Niemann

$0 Vol.

49%

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

49%

Jon Rahm

$0 Vol.

49%

Aaron Rai

$0 Vol.

49%

Chris Gotterup

$0 Vol.

49%

Justin Rose

$0 Vol.

49%

Collin Morikawa

$0 Vol.

49%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

49%

Cameron Young

$0 Vol.

48%

Scottie Scheffler

$0 Vol.

45%

J.T. Poston

$0 Vol.

40%

Dustin Johnson

$0 Vol.

38%

J.J. Spaun

$7 Vol.

30%

Rory McIlroy

$0 Vol.

29%

Ludvig Åberg

$0 Vol.

28%

David Puig

$0 Vol.

28%

Patrick Reed

$0 Vol.

27%

Maverick McNealy

$0 Vol.

27%

Alex Noren

$0 Vol.

26%

Jordan Spieth

$0 Vol.

26%

Wyndham Clark

$0 Vol.

26%

Shane Lowry

$0 Vol.

26%

Russell Henley

$0 Vol.

26%

Jason Day

$0 Vol.

26%

Daniel Berger

$0 Vol.

26%

Keegan Bradley

$0 Vol.

25%

Ben Griffin

$0 Vol.

25%

Bryson DeChambeau

$0 Vol.

24%

Lucas Herbert

$0 Vol.

23%

Michael Kim

$0 Vol.

22%

Sam Burns

$0 Vol.

5%

Kurt Kitayama

$0 Vol.

5%

Akshay Bhatia

$0 Vol.

5%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

5%

Viktor Hovland

$0 Vol.

5%

Min Woo Lee

$0 Vol.

5%

Jake Knapp

$0 Vol.

5%

Kristoffer Reitan

$0 Vol.

5%

Patrick Cantlay

$0 Vol.

5%

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

5%

Harris English

$0 Vol.

5%

Rickie Fowler

$0 Vol.

5%

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

5%

Cameron Smith

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open first-round leader market reflects the inherent variance of a single 18-hole session on a major-championship setup, where dozens of players share comparable implied probabilities near 50%. No dominant recent form or course-specific edge has emerged to separate contenders, as the field features strong ball-strikers and recent low-round performers clustered together. Factors such as draw position, early-week weather, and pin placements can shift scoring opportunities quickly, while established names like Scottie Scheffler and Bryson DeChambeau sit slightly lower due to conservative trader pricing around their typical opening-round approach. This tight distribution underscores how one hot streak or favorable conditions can elevate any competitor from the large group of realistic options.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volumen
$7
Enddatum
21. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open first-round leader market reflects the inherent variance of a single 18-hole session on a major-championship setup, where dozens of players share comparable implied probabilities near 50%. No dominant recent form or course-specific edge has emerged to separate contenders, as the field features strong ball-strikers and recent low-round performers clustered together. Factors such as draw position, early-week weather, and pin placements can shift scoring opportunities quickly, while established names like Scottie Scheffler and Bryson DeChambeau sit slightly lower due to conservative trader pricing around their typical opening-round approach. This tight distribution underscores how one hot streak or favorable conditions can elevate any competitor from the large group of realistic options.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volumen
$7
Enddatum
21. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 57+ möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Alex Smalley" mit 49%, gefolgt von „Nicolai Højgaard" mit 49%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 49¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 49% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" ist „Alex Smalley" mit 49%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 49% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Nicolai Højgaard" mit 49%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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