Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Mary Peltola maintaining a modest lead over Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate race, driven by her record first-quarter fundraising haul of nearly $9 million and emphasis on affordability measures such as eliminating income taxes for households below the state median. Sullivan has secured endorsements from key Alaska Native corporations and continues to highlight infrastructure and resource development priorities, yet trader consensus pricing reflects Peltola’s stronger position heading into the August 18 jungle primary and subsequent ranked-choice general election on November 3. Economic pessimism among voters and national political dynamics further shape assessments of this closely contested matchup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMary Peltola 63%
Dan Sullivan 40%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$323,997 Vol.
$323,997 Vol.

Mary Peltola
63%

Dan Sullivan
40%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 63%
Dan Sullivan 40%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$323,997 Vol.
$323,997 Vol.

Mary Peltola
63%

Dan Sullivan
40%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Mary Peltola maintaining a modest lead over Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate race, driven by her record first-quarter fundraising haul of nearly $9 million and emphasis on affordability measures such as eliminating income taxes for households below the state median. Sullivan has secured endorsements from key Alaska Native corporations and continues to highlight infrastructure and resource development priorities, yet trader consensus pricing reflects Peltola’s stronger position heading into the August 18 jungle primary and subsequent ranked-choice general election on November 3. Economic pessimism among voters and national political dynamics further shape assessments of this closely contested matchup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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