Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability of no AWS service disruption classified as "disrupted" or higher on the Health Dashboard through June 30, 2026, reflecting restored confidence after a thermal event at a US-East-1 data center around May 7 caused elevated error rates across 150+ services, including impacts to Coinbase trading for six hours. AWS swiftly mitigated via availability zone failover and cooling restoration, avoiding a qualifying severity level publicly. Ongoing but contained disruptions in Middle East regions (ME-CENTRAL-1, ME-SOUTH-1) from March infrastructure damage due to regional conflict have not escalated globally, underscoring multi-region redundancy. Key swing factors include unannounced maintenance or new data center vulnerabilities, with no fresh catalysts in the past week amid AWS's strong operational uptime track record.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
NEU
30. Juni 2026
NEU
NEU
30. Juni 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability of no AWS service disruption classified as "disrupted" or higher on the Health Dashboard through June 30, 2026, reflecting restored confidence after a thermal event at a US-East-1 data center around May 7 caused elevated error rates across 150+ services, including impacts to Coinbase trading for six hours. AWS swiftly mitigated via availability zone failover and cooling restoration, avoiding a qualifying severity level publicly. Ongoing but contained disruptions in Middle East regions (ME-CENTRAL-1, ME-SOUTH-1) from March infrastructure damage due to regional conflict have not escalated globally, underscoring multi-region redundancy. Key swing factors include unannounced maintenance or new data center vulnerabilities, with no fresh catalysts in the past week amid AWS's strong operational uptime track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Markt eröffnet: Apr 30, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Volumen
$5,203Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability of no AWS service disruption classified as "disrupted" or higher on the Health Dashboard through June 30, 2026, reflecting restored confidence after a thermal event at a US-East-1 data center around May 7 caused elevated error rates across 150+ services, including impacts to Coinbase trading for six hours. AWS swiftly mitigated via availability zone failover and cooling restoration, avoiding a qualifying severity level publicly. Ongoing but contained disruptions in Middle East regions (ME-CENTRAL-1, ME-SOUTH-1) from March infrastructure damage due to regional conflict have not escalated globally, underscoring multi-region redundancy. Key swing factors include unannounced maintenance or new data center vulnerabilities, with no fresh catalysts in the past week amid AWS's strong operational uptime track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Volumen
$5,203Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability of no AWS service disruption classified as "disrupted" or higher on the Health Dashboard through June 30, 2026, reflecting restored confidence after a thermal event at a US-East-1 data center around May 7 caused elevated error rates across 150+ services, including impacts to Coinbase trading for six hours. AWS swiftly mitigated via availability zone failover and cooling restoration, avoiding a qualifying severity level publicly. Ongoing but contained disruptions in Middle East regions (ME-CENTRAL-1, ME-SOUTH-1) from March infrastructure damage due to regional conflict have not escalated globally, underscoring multi-region redundancy. Key swing factors include unannounced maintenance or new data center vulnerabilities, with no fresh catalysts in the past week amid AWS's strong operational uptime track record.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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