The Bank of Korea’s recent back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August, lifting the policy rate to 3.00%, anchor the strong 79% implied probability of no change at the October meeting as the board assesses lagged effects on inflation and household debt. August CPI rose to 3.1% year-over-year, remaining above the 2% target with core measures accelerating, while robust semiconductor-driven growth supports the upgraded 2026 GDP outlook. The Federal Reserve’s September 25 basis point hike widened the U.S.-Korea rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding currency and housing market pressures, yet BOK communications emphasize a gradual pace with November viewed as the more likely next window. Traders’ consensus reflects data dependence ahead of the next inflation release and policy board deliberations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKeine Änderung 79%
Anhebung um 25 Basispunkte 18%
Erhöhung um 50+ Basispunkte 3.3%
Senkung um 25 Basispunkte <1%
$11,817 Vol.
$11,817 Vol.
Senkung um 50+ Basispunkte
1%
Senkung um 25 Basispunkte
1%
Keine Änderung
79%
Anhebung um 25 Basispunkte
18%
Erhöhung um 50+ Basispunkte
3%
Keine Änderung 79%
Anhebung um 25 Basispunkte 18%
Erhöhung um 50+ Basispunkte 3.3%
Senkung um 25 Basispunkte <1%
$11,817 Vol.
$11,817 Vol.
Senkung um 50+ Basispunkte
1%
Senkung um 25 Basispunkte
1%
Keine Änderung
79%
Anhebung um 25 Basispunkte
18%
Erhöhung um 50+ Basispunkte
3%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s recent back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August, lifting the policy rate to 3.00%, anchor the strong 79% implied probability of no change at the October meeting as the board assesses lagged effects on inflation and household debt. August CPI rose to 3.1% year-over-year, remaining above the 2% target with core measures accelerating, while robust semiconductor-driven growth supports the upgraded 2026 GDP outlook. The Federal Reserve’s September 25 basis point hike widened the U.S.-Korea rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding currency and housing market pressures, yet BOK communications emphasize a gradual pace with November viewed as the more likely next window. Traders’ consensus reflects data dependence ahead of the next inflation release and policy board deliberations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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