Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show The Left, CDU, and AfD clustered within a few points of one another at the top, with The Left often leading narrowly on 19–22 percent followed by CDU and AfD near 18 percent and the Greens on 16–17 percent. This tight four-way spread among the strongest parties creates substantial uncertainty over exact finishing positions and keeps implied probabilities for third place concentrated on AfD, Greens, and CDU. The CDU’s replacement of its prior lead candidate after a January power-outage scandal, combined with AfD gains amid national trends and The Left’s membership surge, have driven recent volatility without establishing a durable order. Minor parties remain far behind, while the September 20 vote and any late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could still reorder the top tier.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLandtagswahl Berlin: 3. Platz
Landtagswahl Berlin: 3. Platz
AfD 34%
Grüne 29%
CDU 27%
Linke 10%
$22,608 Vol.
$22,608 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
AfD
34%
Grüne
29%
CDU
27%
Linke
10%
SPD
8%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 34%
Grüne 29%
CDU 27%
Linke 10%
$22,608 Vol.
$22,608 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
AfD
$5,435 Vol.
34%
Grüne
$3,681 Vol.
29%
CDU
$5,639 Vol.
27%
Linke
$4,578 Vol.
10%
SPD
$1,268 Vol.
8%
FDP
$674 Vol.
<1%
FW
$582 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$750 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show The Left, CDU, and AfD clustered within a few points of one another at the top, with The Left often leading narrowly on 19–22 percent followed by CDU and AfD near 18 percent and the Greens on 16–17 percent. This tight four-way spread among the strongest parties creates substantial uncertainty over exact finishing positions and keeps implied probabilities for third place concentrated on AfD, Greens, and CDU. The CDU’s replacement of its prior lead candidate after a January power-outage scandal, combined with AfD gains amid national trends and The Left’s membership surge, have driven recent volatility without establishing a durable order. Minor parties remain far behind, while the September 20 vote and any late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could still reorder the top tier.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Markt eröffnet: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volumen
$22,608Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show The Left, CDU, and AfD clustered within a few points of one another at the top, with The Left often leading narrowly on 19–22 percent followed by CDU and AfD near 18 percent and the Greens on 16–17 percent. This tight four-way spread among the strongest parties creates substantial uncertainty over exact finishing positions and keeps implied probabilities for third place concentrated on AfD, Greens, and CDU. The CDU’s replacement of its prior lead candidate after a January power-outage scandal, combined with AfD gains amid national trends and The Left’s membership surge, have driven recent volatility without establishing a durable order. Minor parties remain far behind, while the September 20 vote and any late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could still reorder the top tier.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volumen
$22,608Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show The Left, CDU, and AfD clustered within a few points of one another at the top, with The Left often leading narrowly on 19–22 percent followed by CDU and AfD near 18 percent and the Greens on 16–17 percent. This tight four-way spread among the strongest parties creates substantial uncertainty over exact finishing positions and keeps implied probabilities for third place concentrated on AfD, Greens, and CDU. The CDU’s replacement of its prior lead candidate after a January power-outage scandal, combined with AfD gains amid national trends and The Left’s membership surge, have driven recent volatility without establishing a durable order. Minor parties remain far behind, while the September 20 vote and any late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could still reorder the top tier.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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