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icon for Billboard Hot 100 #1 Songwoche vom 15. August

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Songwoche vom 15. August

icon for Billboard Hot 100 #1 Songwoche vom 15. August

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Songwoche vom 15. August

Aug. 11

Aug. 11

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 82%

Boston - Stella Lefty 48%

Be Her - Ella Langley 44%

Petal - Ariana Grande 43%

Polymarket
NEU

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 82%

Boston - Stella Lefty 48%

Be Her - Ella Langley 44%

Petal - Ariana Grande 43%

Polymarket
NEU

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift

$539 Vol.

82%

Boston - Stella Lefty

$539 Vol.

48%

Be Her - Ella Langley

$539 Vol.

44%

Petal - Ariana Grande

$0 Vol.

43%

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

$0 Vol.

43%

Been By Now - Morgan Wallen

$0 Vol.

43%

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo

$542 Vol.

42%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$34 Vol.

54%

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.The close implied probabilities around 50% reflect intense competition for the Billboard Hot 100 summit the week of August 15, with Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holding a modest 53.5% edge driven by strong country radio airplay and recent streaming gains. Multiple high-profile releases from Ariana Grande, Taylor Swift, Morgan Wallen, and Olivia Rodrigo create a crowded field, where fan-driven spikes in sales and platform data can quickly shift momentum. Historical patterns show that late-week surges or viral moments often decide tight races, while cross-genre appeal and promotional timing serve as key differentiators ahead of the next chart lock.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volumen
$2,194
Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.The close implied probabilities around 50% reflect intense competition for the Billboard Hot 100 summit the week of August 15, with Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holding a modest 53.5% edge driven by strong country radio airplay and recent streaming gains. Multiple high-profile releases from Ariana Grande, Taylor Swift, Morgan Wallen, and Olivia Rodrigo create a crowded field, where fan-driven spikes in sales and platform data can quickly shift momentum. Historical patterns show that late-week surges or viral moments often decide tight races, while cross-genre appeal and promotional timing serve as key differentiators ahead of the next chart lock.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volumen
$2,194
Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)". This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Verwandte

icon for Wird „Petal – Ariana Grande“ das #2-Lied der Billboard Hot 100 für die Woche vom 15. August sein?

Wird „Petal – Ariana Grande“ das #2-Lied der Billboard Hot 100 für die Woche vom 15. August sein?

43%
Ja
icon for Wird „Petal“ von Ariana Grande das Nummer-eins-Album der Billboard 200 für die Woche vom 15. August sein?

Wird „Petal“ von Ariana Grande das Nummer-eins-Album der Billboard 200 für die Woche vom 15. August sein?

52%
Ja
icon for Will "Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson" be the song of the summer?

Will "Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson" be the song of the summer?

3%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Billboard Hot 100 #1 Songwoche vom 15. August" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" mit 54%, gefolgt von „Petal - Ariana Grande" mit 43%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 54¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 54% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Billboard Hot 100 #1 Songwoche vom 15. August" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 3, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Billboard Hot 100 #1 Songwoche vom 15. August" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Billboard Hot 100 #1 Songwoche vom 15. August" ist „Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" mit 54%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 54% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Petal - Ariana Grande" mit 43%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Billboard Hot 100 #1 Songwoche vom 15. August" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.