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icon for Der Kongress verabschiedet die Resolution zur iranischen Kriegsmacht bis zum 30. Juni?

Der Kongress verabschiedet die Resolution zur iranischen Kriegsmacht bis zum 30. Juni?

icon for Der Kongress verabschiedet die Resolution zur iranischen Kriegsmacht bis zum 30. Juni?

Der Kongress verabschiedet die Resolution zur iranischen Kriegsmacht bis zum 30. Juni?

Juni 30

Juni 30

Ja

9% Chance
Polymarket

$70,264 Vol.

Ja

9% Chance
Polymarket

$70,264 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent House passage of a war powers resolution on June 3 directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iran hostilities unless Congress authorizes action has not produced parallel Senate action, with only a May procedural advance recorded. Senate leadership has not scheduled a final vote, and the compressed timeline to June 30 limits prospects for bicameral agreement on identical language. Ongoing U.S.-Iran exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz and fragile ceasefire talks further reduce legislative momentum, as members weigh diplomatic developments against immediate statutory constraints under the 1973 War Powers Resolution. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and timing barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.

A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.

The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$70,264
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent House passage of a war powers resolution on June 3 directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iran hostilities unless Congress authorizes action has not produced parallel Senate action, with only a May procedural advance recorded. Senate leadership has not scheduled a final vote, and the compressed timeline to June 30 limits prospects for bicameral agreement on identical language. Ongoing U.S.-Iran exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz and fragile ceasefire talks further reduce legislative momentum, as members weigh diplomatic developments against immediate statutory constraints under the 1973 War Powers Resolution. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and timing barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.

A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.

The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$70,264
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Der Kongress verabschiedet die Resolution zur iranischen Kriegsmacht bis zum 30. Juni?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Verabschiedet der Kongress bis zum 30. Juni eine Iran-Kriegsermächtigungsresolution?" mit 9%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 9¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 9% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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