Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted in late February 2026 have driven sharp crude oil price spikes, with Brent crude surging past $120 per barrel after effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and related production shut-ins across Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Iraq. These supply disruptions, compounded by infrastructure attacks and tanker rerouting, pushed benchmark prices to multi-year highs and elevated the probability that futures will exceed the prior all-time peak above $147. Recent diplomatic signals of a possible ceasefire and gradual reopening of Hormuz flows have introduced uncertainty, while ongoing inventory draws and OPEC adjustments continue to support elevated prices into mid-2026. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these dynamics, assigning the highest implied probability to a December resolution amid potential for further volatility from military or diplomatic developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCrude Oil all time high by...?
Crude Oil all time high by...?
$238,954 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
May 31
3%
June 30
14%
September 30
32%
December 31
45%
$238,954 Vol.
May 31
$163,868 Vol.
3%
June 30
$20,250 Vol.
14%
September 30
$31,521 Vol.
32%
December 31
$23,981 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted in late February 2026 have driven sharp crude oil price spikes, with Brent crude surging past $120 per barrel after effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and related production shut-ins across Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Iraq. These supply disruptions, compounded by infrastructure attacks and tanker rerouting, pushed benchmark prices to multi-year highs and elevated the probability that futures will exceed the prior all-time peak above $147. Recent diplomatic signals of a possible ceasefire and gradual reopening of Hormuz flows have introduced uncertainty, while ongoing inventory draws and OPEC adjustments continue to support elevated prices into mid-2026. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these dynamics, assigning the highest implied probability to a December resolution amid potential for further volatility from military or diplomatic developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volumen
$238,954Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted in late February 2026 have driven sharp crude oil price spikes, with Brent crude surging past $120 per barrel after effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and related production shut-ins across Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Iraq. These supply disruptions, compounded by infrastructure attacks and tanker rerouting, pushed benchmark prices to multi-year highs and elevated the probability that futures will exceed the prior all-time peak above $147. Recent diplomatic signals of a possible ceasefire and gradual reopening of Hormuz flows have introduced uncertainty, while ongoing inventory draws and OPEC adjustments continue to support elevated prices into mid-2026. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these dynamics, assigning the highest implied probability to a December resolution amid potential for further volatility from military or diplomatic developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$238,954Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted in late February 2026 have driven sharp crude oil price spikes, with Brent crude surging past $120 per barrel after effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and related production shut-ins across Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Iraq. These supply disruptions, compounded by infrastructure attacks and tanker rerouting, pushed benchmark prices to multi-year highs and elevated the probability that futures will exceed the prior all-time peak above $147. Recent diplomatic signals of a possible ceasefire and gradual reopening of Hormuz flows have introduced uncertainty, while ongoing inventory draws and OPEC adjustments continue to support elevated prices into mid-2026. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these dynamics, assigning the highest implied probability to a December resolution amid potential for further volatility from military or diplomatic developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen