Elon Musk’s posting volume on X remains highly variable week to week, leaving every bucket from under 40 tweets to 240-plus trading at nearly identical implied probabilities near 42 percent. Recent baselines show weekday averages around 30–35 posts and lower weekend figures near 24, which would place a typical Thursday-through-Saturday stretch in the middle ranges, yet spikes above 100 posts on a single day occur when major news, product updates, or political developments draw his attention. The flat market pricing reflects traders’ recognition that short three-day windows are easily shifted by unpredictable catalysts such as regulatory announcements, SpaceX or Tesla milestones, or personal schedule changes, with no single range commanding a clear edge ahead of the July 30 start.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert<40 43%
40-64 43%
65-89 43%
90-114 43%
NEU
NEU
1. Aug. 2026
<40
43%
40-64
43%
65-89
43%
90-114
43%
115-139
43%
140-164
-
165-189
-
190-214
-
215-239
-
240+
-
<40 43%
40-64 43%
65-89 43%
90-114 43%
NEU
NEU
1. Aug. 2026
<40
$0 Vol.
43%
40-64
$0 Vol.
43%
65-89
$0 Vol.
43%
90-114
$0 Vol.
43%
115-139
$0 Vol.
43%
140-164
$5 Vol.
-
165-189
$5 Vol.
-
190-214
$5 Vol.
-
215-239
$5 Vol.
-
240+
$5 Vol.
-
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 30 12:00 PM ET to August 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting volume on X remains highly variable week to week, leaving every bucket from under 40 tweets to 240-plus trading at nearly identical implied probabilities near 42 percent. Recent baselines show weekday averages around 30–35 posts and lower weekend figures near 24, which would place a typical Thursday-through-Saturday stretch in the middle ranges, yet spikes above 100 posts on a single day occur when major news, product updates, or political developments draw his attention. The flat market pricing reflects traders’ recognition that short three-day windows are easily shifted by unpredictable catalysts such as regulatory announcements, SpaceX or Tesla milestones, or personal schedule changes, with no single range commanding a clear edge ahead of the July 30 start.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 30 12:00 PM ET to August 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volumen
$25Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 30 12:00 PM ET to August 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting volume on X remains highly variable week to week, leaving every bucket from under 40 tweets to 240-plus trading at nearly identical implied probabilities near 42 percent. Recent baselines show weekday averages around 30–35 posts and lower weekend figures near 24, which would place a typical Thursday-through-Saturday stretch in the middle ranges, yet spikes above 100 posts on a single day occur when major news, product updates, or political developments draw his attention. The flat market pricing reflects traders’ recognition that short three-day windows are easily shifted by unpredictable catalysts such as regulatory announcements, SpaceX or Tesla milestones, or personal schedule changes, with no single range commanding a clear edge ahead of the July 30 start.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 30 12:00 PM ET to August 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$25Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting volume on X remains highly variable week to week, leaving every bucket from under 40 tweets to 240-plus trading at nearly identical implied probabilities near 42 percent. Recent baselines show weekday averages around 30–35 posts and lower weekend figures near 24, which would place a typical Thursday-through-Saturday stretch in the middle ranges, yet spikes above 100 posts on a single day occur when major news, product updates, or political developments draw his attention. The flat market pricing reflects traders’ recognition that short three-day windows are easily shifted by unpredictable catalysts such as regulatory announcements, SpaceX or Tesla milestones, or personal schedule changes, with no single range commanding a clear edge ahead of the July 30 start.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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