Tom Pelphrey’s 46% market-implied probability for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series leads trader consensus following the July 8 nominations and strong final-round momentum for his breakout turn as Robbie in HBO’s “Task.” Three nominees from the season’s most-nominated series, “The Pitt,” create a realistic vote-split risk that has elevated Pelphrey’s positioning despite “The Pitt” securing 25 total nods and dominant guild and critical support. Patrick Ball (33.5%) benefits from the show’s overall narrative as frontrunner, while Shawn Hatosy (12.4%) and lower-priced options like Billy Crudup and Jack Lowden trail amid the crowded field. The Sept. 14 ceremony remains the decisive catalyst, with historical precedent favoring standalone performances when one program fields multiple contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEmmys 2026: Herausragender Nebendarsteller in einer Dramaserie
Tom Pelphrey – „Task“ 46%
Patrick Ball – „The Pitt“ 34%
Shawn Hatosy – „The Pitt“ 12.7%
Billy Crudup – „The Morning Show“ 5.3%
$35,184 Vol.
$35,184 Vol.
Tom Pelphrey – „Task“
46%
Patrick Ball – „The Pitt“
34%
Shawn Hatosy – „The Pitt“
13%
Billy Crudup – „The Morning Show“
5%
Jack Lowden – „Slow Horses“
4%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga – „Pluribus“
2%
Gerran Howell – „The Pitt“
1%
Tom Pelphrey – „Task“ 46%
Patrick Ball – „The Pitt“ 34%
Shawn Hatosy – „The Pitt“ 12.7%
Billy Crudup – „The Morning Show“ 5.3%
$35,184 Vol.
$35,184 Vol.
Tom Pelphrey – „Task“
46%
Patrick Ball – „The Pitt“
34%
Shawn Hatosy – „The Pitt“
13%
Billy Crudup – „The Morning Show“
5%
Jack Lowden – „Slow Horses“
4%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga – „Pluribus“
2%
Gerran Howell – „The Pitt“
1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Tom Pelphrey’s 46% market-implied probability for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series leads trader consensus following the July 8 nominations and strong final-round momentum for his breakout turn as Robbie in HBO’s “Task.” Three nominees from the season’s most-nominated series, “The Pitt,” create a realistic vote-split risk that has elevated Pelphrey’s positioning despite “The Pitt” securing 25 total nods and dominant guild and critical support. Patrick Ball (33.5%) benefits from the show’s overall narrative as frontrunner, while Shawn Hatosy (12.4%) and lower-priced options like Billy Crudup and Jack Lowden trail amid the crowded field. The Sept. 14 ceremony remains the decisive catalyst, with historical precedent favoring standalone performances when one program fields multiple contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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