Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic growth, sticky inflation above 3%, and elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions. The April 29 FOMC statement held the fed funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid hawkish dissents, while Barclays and Bank of America recently revised forecasts to delay cuts until mid-2027. A hot May inflation report further diminished easing expectations, with CME FedWatch showing near-zero odds of cuts through year-end. Absent a sharp recession or financial crisis—rare triggers for unscheduled moves like 2008 or 2020—traders anticipate steady policy at upcoming June and July meetings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$104,016 Vol.
$104,016 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$104,016 Vol.
$104,016 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic growth, sticky inflation above 3%, and elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions. The April 29 FOMC statement held the fed funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid hawkish dissents, while Barclays and Bank of America recently revised forecasts to delay cuts until mid-2027. A hot May inflation report further diminished easing expectations, with CME FedWatch showing near-zero odds of cuts through year-end. Absent a sharp recession or financial crisis—rare triggers for unscheduled moves like 2008 or 2020—traders anticipate steady policy at upcoming June and July meetings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$104,016Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic growth, sticky inflation above 3%, and elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions. The April 29 FOMC statement held the fed funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid hawkish dissents, while Barclays and Bank of America recently revised forecasts to delay cuts until mid-2027. A hot May inflation report further diminished easing expectations, with CME FedWatch showing near-zero odds of cuts through year-end. Absent a sharp recession or financial crisis—rare triggers for unscheduled moves like 2008 or 2020—traders anticipate steady policy at upcoming June and July meetings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volumen
$104,016Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic growth, sticky inflation above 3%, and elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions. The April 29 FOMC statement held the fed funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid hawkish dissents, while Barclays and Bank of America recently revised forecasts to delay cuts until mid-2027. A hot May inflation report further diminished easing expectations, with CME FedWatch showing near-zero odds of cuts through year-end. Absent a sharp recession or financial crisis—rare triggers for unscheduled moves like 2008 or 2020—traders anticipate steady policy at upcoming June and July meetings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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