Trader consensus currently views Nebraska as the most vulnerable among the three Great Plains Republican Senate contests, with Iowa and Kansas seen as marginally stronger holds. In Nebraska, incumbent Pete Ricketts faces independent Dan Osborn, who previously ran a competitive campaign against a GOP senator and continues to draw cross-party support in a state with a solid Republican lean. Iowa’s open seat after Joni Ernst’s retirement pits Republican Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters, where polling remains tight amid agricultural and trade concerns. Kansas incumbent Roger Marshall holds a clearer edge over Democratic challengers in a state with a stronger partisan baseline. Recent GOP super PAC spending in Nebraska and shifting national conditions have kept all three races within a narrow band, with candidate recruitment, turnout among rural voters, and any broader midterm environment likely to determine separation before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNebraska 38%
Iowa 31%
Kansas 19%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Nebraska
38%
Iowa
31%
Kansas
32%
Nebraska 38%
Iowa 31%
Kansas 19%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Nebraska
$6 Vol.
38%
Iowa
$0 Vol.
31%
Kansas
$32 Vol.
32%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus currently views Nebraska as the most vulnerable among the three Great Plains Republican Senate contests, with Iowa and Kansas seen as marginally stronger holds. In Nebraska, incumbent Pete Ricketts faces independent Dan Osborn, who previously ran a competitive campaign against a GOP senator and continues to draw cross-party support in a state with a solid Republican lean. Iowa’s open seat after Joni Ernst’s retirement pits Republican Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters, where polling remains tight amid agricultural and trade concerns. Kansas incumbent Roger Marshall holds a clearer edge over Democratic challengers in a state with a stronger partisan baseline. Recent GOP super PAC spending in Nebraska and shifting national conditions have kept all three races within a narrow band, with candidate recruitment, turnout among rural voters, and any broader midterm environment likely to determine separation before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Volumen
$38Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus currently views Nebraska as the most vulnerable among the three Great Plains Republican Senate contests, with Iowa and Kansas seen as marginally stronger holds. In Nebraska, incumbent Pete Ricketts faces independent Dan Osborn, who previously ran a competitive campaign against a GOP senator and continues to draw cross-party support in a state with a solid Republican lean. Iowa’s open seat after Joni Ernst’s retirement pits Republican Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters, where polling remains tight amid agricultural and trade concerns. Kansas incumbent Roger Marshall holds a clearer edge over Democratic challengers in a state with a stronger partisan baseline. Recent GOP super PAC spending in Nebraska and shifting national conditions have kept all three races within a narrow band, with candidate recruitment, turnout among rural voters, and any broader midterm environment likely to determine separation before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Republican Senate candidate earns the lowest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Republican, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Republicans, the relevant vote share will be that of the Republican with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$38Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus currently views Nebraska as the most vulnerable among the three Great Plains Republican Senate contests, with Iowa and Kansas seen as marginally stronger holds. In Nebraska, incumbent Pete Ricketts faces independent Dan Osborn, who previously ran a competitive campaign against a GOP senator and continues to draw cross-party support in a state with a solid Republican lean. Iowa’s open seat after Joni Ernst’s retirement pits Republican Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters, where polling remains tight amid agricultural and trade concerns. Kansas incumbent Roger Marshall holds a clearer edge over Democratic challengers in a state with a stronger partisan baseline. Recent GOP super PAC spending in Nebraska and shifting national conditions have kept all three races within a narrow band, with candidate recruitment, turnout among rural voters, and any broader midterm environment likely to determine separation before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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