Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 21. Juli?
33°C 56%
34°C 33%
32°C 11%
35°C 2.3%
$18,808 Vol.
$18,808 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
56%
34°C
33%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 33%
32°C 11%
35°C 2.3%
$18,808 Vol.
$18,808 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
56%
34°C
33%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen