**Forecast models and regional heatwave conditions currently anchor trader sentiment around 38–39°C for Chengdu’s July 20 high.** Short-range guidance from sources such as timeanddate and regional outlooks points to sunny skies and highs of 37–38°C (99–100°F) on the 19th–20th, while broader July climatology and recent Sichuan basin readings—including Chongqing’s 40°C reading earlier in the month—support the slim edge for 39°C. Chengdu’s enclosed topography and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and can amplify daytime maxima under clear, subsiding air. Model ensembles show modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and wind timing, keeping 37°C and 40°C as close secondary outcomes. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next updated runs from national meteorological centers will likely tighten probabilities further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 20. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 20. Juli?
39°C 30%
38°C 22%
40°C 19%
37°C 14%
NEU
NEU
20. Juli 2026
34°C or below
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
11%
37°C
14%
38°C
22%
39°C
30%
40°C
19%
41°C
12%
42°C
9%
43°C
10%
44°C or higher
2%
39°C 30%
38°C 22%
40°C 19%
37°C 14%
NEU
NEU
20. Juli 2026
34°C or below
$406 Vol.
2%
35°C
$0 Vol.
3%
36°C
$0 Vol.
11%
37°C
$0 Vol.
14%
38°C
$0 Vol.
22%
39°C
$0 Vol.
30%
40°C
$0 Vol.
19%
41°C
$0 Vol.
12%
42°C
$5 Vol.
9%
43°C
$20 Vol.
10%
44°C or higher
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and regional heatwave conditions currently anchor trader sentiment around 38–39°C for Chengdu’s July 20 high.** Short-range guidance from sources such as timeanddate and regional outlooks points to sunny skies and highs of 37–38°C (99–100°F) on the 19th–20th, while broader July climatology and recent Sichuan basin readings—including Chongqing’s 40°C reading earlier in the month—support the slim edge for 39°C. Chengdu’s enclosed topography and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and can amplify daytime maxima under clear, subsiding air. Model ensembles show modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and wind timing, keeping 37°C and 40°C as close secondary outcomes. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next updated runs from national meteorological centers will likely tighten probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$446Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and regional heatwave conditions currently anchor trader sentiment around 38–39°C for Chengdu’s July 20 high.** Short-range guidance from sources such as timeanddate and regional outlooks points to sunny skies and highs of 37–38°C (99–100°F) on the 19th–20th, while broader July climatology and recent Sichuan basin readings—including Chongqing’s 40°C reading earlier in the month—support the slim edge for 39°C. Chengdu’s enclosed topography and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and can amplify daytime maxima under clear, subsiding air. Model ensembles show modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and wind timing, keeping 37°C and 40°C as close secondary outcomes. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next updated runs from national meteorological centers will likely tighten probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$446Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and regional heatwave conditions currently anchor trader sentiment around 38–39°C for Chengdu’s July 20 high.** Short-range guidance from sources such as timeanddate and regional outlooks points to sunny skies and highs of 37–38°C (99–100°F) on the 19th–20th, while broader July climatology and recent Sichuan basin readings—including Chongqing’s 40°C reading earlier in the month—support the slim edge for 39°C. Chengdu’s enclosed topography and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and can amplify daytime maxima under clear, subsiding air. Model ensembles show modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and wind timing, keeping 37°C and 40°C as close secondary outcomes. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next updated runs from national meteorological centers will likely tighten probabilities further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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