**Short-term forecasts from sources like BBC Weather indicate sunny conditions with highs near 35°C for July 7 in Chongqing, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 24.5% implied probability.** July marks peak summer in this humid subtropical region, where seasonal averages reach 32–35°C but extremes often hit 37–40°C under clear skies and high humidity. Key variables include steering patterns that could allow convective showers to cap temperatures at 34°C or below, versus prolonged sunshine and urban heat effects pushing readings to 37°C or higher. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, while official station measurements (typically at airports or urban sites) determine resolution. Traders weigh recent warm trends and minimal cooling precipitation against the chance of monsoon-related variability in the next 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 7?
37°C 33%
36°C 30%
38°C 16%
35°C 12%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
12%
36°C
30%
37°C
33%
38°C
16%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
2%
37°C 33%
36°C 30%
38°C 16%
35°C 12%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
12%
36°C
30%
37°C
33%
38°C
16%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecasts from sources like BBC Weather indicate sunny conditions with highs near 35°C for July 7 in Chongqing, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 24.5% implied probability.** July marks peak summer in this humid subtropical region, where seasonal averages reach 32–35°C but extremes often hit 37–40°C under clear skies and high humidity. Key variables include steering patterns that could allow convective showers to cap temperatures at 34°C or below, versus prolonged sunshine and urban heat effects pushing readings to 37°C or higher. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, while official station measurements (typically at airports or urban sites) determine resolution. Traders weigh recent warm trends and minimal cooling precipitation against the chance of monsoon-related variability in the next 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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