The arrival of a cold air mass from the north, expected to reach Chongqing overnight on September 9–10, is the main driver behind market-implied odds clustering around 28–30°C for the daily maximum. Persistent heat through September 8–9, with recent highs of 35–39°C under mostly clear skies, sets up a sharp transition as models forecast increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and a notable temperature drop. Forecast spreads across sources reflect typical uncertainties in frontal timing and local orographic effects within the Sichuan Basin, with some guidance holding daytime peaks near 28°C while others trend cooler toward 22–25°C. Updated CMA model runs and surface observations on September 9 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 10. September?
29°C 35%
30°C 33%
28°C 20%
31°C 13%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
23°C oder weniger
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C
20%
29°C
35%
30°C
26%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C oder höher
4%
29°C 35%
30°C 33%
28°C 20%
31°C 13%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
23°C oder weniger
$363 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$459 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$370 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$33 Vol.
5%
27°C
$179 Vol.
7%
28°C
$54 Vol.
20%
29°C
$1,039 Vol.
35%
30°C
$447 Vol.
26%
31°C
$109 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C oder höher
$250 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The arrival of a cold air mass from the north, expected to reach Chongqing overnight on September 9–10, is the main driver behind market-implied odds clustering around 28–30°C for the daily maximum. Persistent heat through September 8–9, with recent highs of 35–39°C under mostly clear skies, sets up a sharp transition as models forecast increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and a notable temperature drop. Forecast spreads across sources reflect typical uncertainties in frontal timing and local orographic effects within the Sichuan Basin, with some guidance holding daytime peaks near 28°C while others trend cooler toward 22–25°C. Updated CMA model runs and surface observations on September 9 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$3,304Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The arrival of a cold air mass from the north, expected to reach Chongqing overnight on September 9–10, is the main driver behind market-implied odds clustering around 28–30°C for the daily maximum. Persistent heat through September 8–9, with recent highs of 35–39°C under mostly clear skies, sets up a sharp transition as models forecast increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and a notable temperature drop. Forecast spreads across sources reflect typical uncertainties in frontal timing and local orographic effects within the Sichuan Basin, with some guidance holding daytime peaks near 28°C while others trend cooler toward 22–25°C. Updated CMA model runs and surface observations on September 9 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,304Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The arrival of a cold air mass from the north, expected to reach Chongqing overnight on September 9–10, is the main driver behind market-implied odds clustering around 28–30°C for the daily maximum. Persistent heat through September 8–9, with recent highs of 35–39°C under mostly clear skies, sets up a sharp transition as models forecast increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and a notable temperature drop. Forecast spreads across sources reflect typical uncertainties in frontal timing and local orographic effects within the Sichuan Basin, with some guidance holding daytime peaks near 28°C while others trend cooler toward 22–25°C. Updated CMA model runs and surface observations on September 9 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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