Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 26–29°C for July 29 under mainly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms expected from an active southwesterly monsoon flow. This setup, combined with 80–95% rain probability, favors convective cloud cover that caps daytime heating and keeps the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Traders weigh these short-term dynamics against Hong Kong’s long-term warming trend and the July–September outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, producing near-even odds between 28°C and 29°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and localized thunderstorm timing will determine whether brief clear spells allow a modest rise or persistent moisture holds readings at or below 28°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 29. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 29. Juli?
27°C 100.0%
25°C oder darunter <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$301,638 Vol.
$301,638 Vol.
29. Juli 2026
25°C oder darunter
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C oder höher
Nein
27°C 100.0%
25°C oder darunter <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$301,638 Vol.
$301,638 Vol.
29. Juli 2026
25°C oder darunter
$30,343 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$52,225 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$59,951 Vol.
Ja
28°C
$46,587 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$45,146 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$41,574 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$17,762 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$4,545 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$2,889 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$245 Vol.
Nein
35°C oder höher
$371 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 26–29°C for July 29 under mainly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms expected from an active southwesterly monsoon flow. This setup, combined with 80–95% rain probability, favors convective cloud cover that caps daytime heating and keeps the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Traders weigh these short-term dynamics against Hong Kong’s long-term warming trend and the July–September outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, producing near-even odds between 28°C and 29°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and localized thunderstorm timing will determine whether brief clear spells allow a modest rise or persistent moisture holds readings at or below 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ET
Volumen
$301,638Enddatum
29. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 26–29°C for July 29 under mainly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms expected from an active southwesterly monsoon flow. This setup, combined with 80–95% rain probability, favors convective cloud cover that caps daytime heating and keeps the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Traders weigh these short-term dynamics against Hong Kong’s long-term warming trend and the July–September outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, producing near-even odds between 28°C and 29°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and localized thunderstorm timing will determine whether brief clear spells allow a modest rise or persistent moisture holds readings at or below 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$301,638Enddatum
29. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 26–29°C for July 29 under mainly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms expected from an active southwesterly monsoon flow. This setup, combined with 80–95% rain probability, favors convective cloud cover that caps daytime heating and keeps the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Traders weigh these short-term dynamics against Hong Kong’s long-term warming trend and the July–September outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, producing near-even odds between 28°C and 29°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and localized thunderstorm timing will determine whether brief clear spells allow a modest rise or persistent moisture holds readings at or below 28°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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