Short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a daily maximum of 25–26 °C in Istanbul on July 23, reflecting a modest dip from recent 29–31 °C readings. Typical July climatology features average highs of 29–31 °C under Mediterranean high pressure, yet current guidance highlights increased boundary-layer moisture, possible sea-breeze enhancement from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, and modest cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Ensemble spreads in global models remain narrow for this near-term horizon, supporting the tight market clustering around 25–26 °C while leaving room for revision if diurnal heating exceeds expectations or a subtle wind shift occurs. Updated runs and official nowcasts will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 23. Juli?
25°C 49%
24°C 25%
26°C 19%
23°C 7%
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
25%
25°C
49%
26°C
19%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 25%
26°C 19%
23°C 7%
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
25%
25°C
49%
26°C
19%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a daily maximum of 25–26 °C in Istanbul on July 23, reflecting a modest dip from recent 29–31 °C readings. Typical July climatology features average highs of 29–31 °C under Mediterranean high pressure, yet current guidance highlights increased boundary-layer moisture, possible sea-breeze enhancement from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, and modest cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Ensemble spreads in global models remain narrow for this near-term horizon, supporting the tight market clustering around 25–26 °C while leaving room for revision if diurnal heating exceeds expectations or a subtle wind shift occurs. Updated runs and official nowcasts will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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