Recent forecasts from multiple models project a daily maximum of 35–36°C in Jeddah on October 5 under mostly clear skies and light to moderate southwesterly winds, producing the tight 47.5%–40% split between those two outcomes. Persistent subsidence beneath the subtropical high, combined with strong solar insolation typical of early October, maintains elevated surface temperatures with minimal diurnal cooling from the Red Sea. Recent observations show highs of 35–37°C, and model consensus leaves little room for deviation beyond 34–37°C unless an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or wind shift occurs. Updated runs from agencies such as the Saudi Meteorological Authority will refine the precise peak before resolution.