Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's August 2 maximum near 34–36°C under persistent high pressure and subsiding air, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, Po Valley moisture advection, and minor timing differences in any weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread, with 34°C edging ahead on slightly cooler bias in some runs. Historical early-August averages near 29–30°C underscore the current anomalously warm pattern, while model uncertainty remains modest given the short forecast horizon. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z cycles plus official ARPA Lombardia guidance for any last adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 2. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 2. August?
34°C 35%
36°C 28%
35°C 27%
33°C 15%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
15%
34°C
35%
35°C
27%
36°C
28%
37°C
4%
38°C
7%
39°C
3%
40°C
<1%
41°C oder höher
1%
34°C 35%
36°C 28%
35°C 27%
33°C 15%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
10%
33°C
$7 Vol.
15%
34°C
$0 Vol.
35%
35°C
$5 Vol.
27%
36°C
$11 Vol.
28%
37°C
$0 Vol.
4%
38°C
$10 Vol.
7%
39°C
$10 Vol.
3%
40°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
41°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's August 2 maximum near 34–36°C under persistent high pressure and subsiding air, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, Po Valley moisture advection, and minor timing differences in any weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread, with 34°C edging ahead on slightly cooler bias in some runs. Historical early-August averages near 29–30°C underscore the current anomalously warm pattern, while model uncertainty remains modest given the short forecast horizon. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z cycles plus official ARPA Lombardia guidance for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$48Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's August 2 maximum near 34–36°C under persistent high pressure and subsiding air, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, Po Valley moisture advection, and minor timing differences in any weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread, with 34°C edging ahead on slightly cooler bias in some runs. Historical early-August averages near 29–30°C underscore the current anomalously warm pattern, while model uncertainty remains modest given the short forecast horizon. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z cycles plus official ARPA Lombardia guidance for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$48Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Milan's August 2 maximum near 34–36°C under persistent high pressure and subsiding air, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Local factors such as urban heat island effects, Po Valley moisture advection, and minor timing differences in any weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread, with 34°C edging ahead on slightly cooler bias in some runs. Historical early-August averages near 29–30°C underscore the current anomalously warm pattern, while model uncertainty remains modest given the short forecast horizon. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z cycles plus official ARPA Lombardia guidance for any last adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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