Current forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 35°C in Milan on June 26 under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing of maximum solar heating, minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, and light Po Valley winds that can either enhance or moderate urban heat retention. Recent model runs show low precipitation risk and stable subsidence, keeping the distribution narrow while acknowledging typical ensemble spread of 1–2°C near the daily maximum. Updated NWP guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on June 26?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$69,006 Vol.
$69,006 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$69,006 Vol.
$69,006 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 35°C in Milan on June 26 under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing of maximum solar heating, minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, and light Po Valley winds that can either enhance or moderate urban heat retention. Recent model runs show low precipitation risk and stable subsidence, keeping the distribution narrow while acknowledging typical ensemble spread of 1–2°C near the daily maximum. Updated NWP guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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