Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on July 7?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 7?
20°C 36%
19°C 26%
21°C 21%
18°C 13%
NEU
NEU
7. Juli 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
13%
19°C
26%
20°C
36%
21°C
21%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 36%
19°C 26%
21°C 21%
18°C 13%
NEU
NEU
7. Juli 2026
14°C or below
$822 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$358 Vol.
1%
17°C
$263 Vol.
1%
18°C
$127 Vol.
13%
19°C
$517 Vol.
26%
20°C
$109 Vol.
36%
21°C
$52 Vol.
21%
22°C
$259 Vol.
5%
23°C
$144 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,180Enddatum
7. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,180Enddatum
7. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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