A cold front advancing across southern Brazil combined with a polar air mass has sharply lowered expected highs in São Paulo for September 6, positioning 15–17 °C as the market’s leading outcomes. Official guidance and ensemble models from sources including the National Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate an overcast day with widespread light rain, southeasterly winds of 20–30 km/h, and daytime maxima most likely between 13 °C and 16 °C after early-morning readings near 16 °C. This represents a 6–10 °C drop from early-September norms. Traders are assigning the highest implied probability to 16 °C, reflecting the tight clustering of recent model runs around that value while still allowing modest upside to 17 °C or downside to 15 °C depending on exact timing of the front’s passage. Updated high-resolution forecasts and surface observations issued in the next 24–48 hours will further refine resolution criteria.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 6. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 6. September?
16°C 36%
17°C 28%
15°C 18%
18°C 10%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
13°C oder weniger
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
18%
16°C
36%
17°C
28%
18°C
10%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 36%
17°C 28%
15°C 18%
18°C 10%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
13°C oder weniger
$171 Vol.
4%
14°C
$69 Vol.
4%
15°C
$320 Vol.
18%
16°C
$274 Vol.
36%
17°C
$164 Vol.
28%
18°C
$169 Vol.
10%
19°C
$93 Vol.
5%
20°C
$64 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing across southern Brazil combined with a polar air mass has sharply lowered expected highs in São Paulo for September 6, positioning 15–17 °C as the market’s leading outcomes. Official guidance and ensemble models from sources including the National Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate an overcast day with widespread light rain, southeasterly winds of 20–30 km/h, and daytime maxima most likely between 13 °C and 16 °C after early-morning readings near 16 °C. This represents a 6–10 °C drop from early-September norms. Traders are assigning the highest implied probability to 16 °C, reflecting the tight clustering of recent model runs around that value while still allowing modest upside to 17 °C or downside to 15 °C depending on exact timing of the front’s passage. Updated high-resolution forecasts and surface observations issued in the next 24–48 hours will further refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$1,325Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing across southern Brazil combined with a polar air mass has sharply lowered expected highs in São Paulo for September 6, positioning 15–17 °C as the market’s leading outcomes. Official guidance and ensemble models from sources including the National Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate an overcast day with widespread light rain, southeasterly winds of 20–30 km/h, and daytime maxima most likely between 13 °C and 16 °C after early-morning readings near 16 °C. This represents a 6–10 °C drop from early-September norms. Traders are assigning the highest implied probability to 16 °C, reflecting the tight clustering of recent model runs around that value while still allowing modest upside to 17 °C or downside to 15 °C depending on exact timing of the front’s passage. Updated high-resolution forecasts and surface observations issued in the next 24–48 hours will further refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,325Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing across southern Brazil combined with a polar air mass has sharply lowered expected highs in São Paulo for September 6, positioning 15–17 °C as the market’s leading outcomes. Official guidance and ensemble models from sources including the National Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate an overcast day with widespread light rain, southeasterly winds of 20–30 km/h, and daytime maxima most likely between 13 °C and 16 °C after early-morning readings near 16 °C. This represents a 6–10 °C drop from early-September norms. Traders are assigning the highest implied probability to 16 °C, reflecting the tight clustering of recent model runs around that value while still allowing modest upside to 17 °C or downside to 15 °C depending on exact timing of the front’s passage. Updated high-resolution forecasts and surface observations issued in the next 24–48 hours will further refine resolution criteria.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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