**Clear skies and light northwest winds under stable high-pressure conditions are positioning Seoul and Incheon for a maximum temperature near 25°C on September 15.** Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts list a high of 25°C with overnight lows around 16–18°C, consistent with multiple global models showing minimal cloud cover and daytime heating under autumnal radiative conditions. This aligns with the market’s leading 53% implied probability for 25°C, followed by 26°C at 23.5% and 24°C at 17.5%, reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range typical for the season. No significant frontal activity or moisture advection is expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 15. September?
25°C 53%
26°C 27%
24°C 16%
27°C 6%
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
53%
26°C
27%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C oder höher
1%
25°C 53%
26°C 27%
24°C 16%
27°C 6%
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
53%
26°C
27%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light northwest winds under stable high-pressure conditions are positioning Seoul and Incheon for a maximum temperature near 25°C on September 15.** Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts list a high of 25°C with overnight lows around 16–18°C, consistent with multiple global models showing minimal cloud cover and daytime heating under autumnal radiative conditions. This aligns with the market’s leading 53% implied probability for 25°C, followed by 26°C at 23.5% and 24°C at 17.5%, reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range typical for the season. No significant frontal activity or moisture advection is expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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