Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Shenzhen on June 27 will likely reach 30–31 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors subsidence and warming but is tempered by abundant low-level moisture from the South China Sea. Afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms, common in the region during the East Asian monsoon transition, introduce the main uncertainty by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer mixing add further variability to the precise high, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around these two outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 27. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 27. Juni?
30°C 33%
31°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 17%
NEU
$51,559 Vol.
NEU
$51,559 Vol.
27. Juni 2026
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
33%
31°C
25%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 17%
NEU
$51,559 Vol.
NEU
$51,559 Vol.
27. Juni 2026
25°C oder weniger
$7,372 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$616 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$18,622 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,092 Vol.
7%
29°C
$2,231 Vol.
17%
30°C
$5,037 Vol.
33%
31°C
$2,182 Vol.
25%
32°C
$3,799 Vol.
22%
33°C
$4,124 Vol.
5%
34°C
$2,675 Vol.
1%
35°C oder höher
$1,993 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Shenzhen on June 27 will likely reach 30–31 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors subsidence and warming but is tempered by abundant low-level moisture from the South China Sea. Afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms, common in the region during the East Asian monsoon transition, introduce the main uncertainty by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer mixing add further variability to the precise high, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around these two outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$51,559Enddatum
27. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Shenzhen on June 27 will likely reach 30–31 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors subsidence and warming but is tempered by abundant low-level moisture from the South China Sea. Afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms, common in the region during the East Asian monsoon transition, introduce the main uncertainty by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer mixing add further variability to the precise high, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around these two outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$51,559Enddatum
27. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Shenzhen on June 27 will likely reach 30–31 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors subsidence and warming but is tempered by abundant low-level moisture from the South China Sea. Afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms, common in the region during the East Asian monsoon transition, introduce the main uncertainty by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer mixing add further variability to the precise high, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around these two outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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