Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Tel Aviv’s June 11 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold, with the slight market edge to 30 °C reflecting minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing. Typical early-June conditions feature clear skies, weak synoptic flow, and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures around 24 °C that moderate coastal peaks while allowing inland warming under full insolation. Historical climatology shows daily highs clustering between 27 °C and 31 °C this week of the year, so small shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or model bias can easily move the observed maximum between the two leading outcomes. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and major centers are expected through the evening of June 10, providing the final guidance before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 11. Juni?
30°C 41%
29°C 38%
31°C 10%
28°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
9%
29°C
38%
30°C
41%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 41%
29°C 38%
31°C 10%
28°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
9%
29°C
38%
30°C
41%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Tel Aviv’s June 11 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold, with the slight market edge to 30 °C reflecting minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing. Typical early-June conditions feature clear skies, weak synoptic flow, and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures around 24 °C that moderate coastal peaks while allowing inland warming under full insolation. Historical climatology shows daily highs clustering between 27 °C and 31 °C this week of the year, so small shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or model bias can easily move the observed maximum between the two leading outcomes. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and major centers are expected through the evening of June 10, providing the final guidance before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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