Trader consensus around 24–26°C for Toronto’s July 23 maximum reflects short-range model uncertainty in afternoon heating under a weak ridge, with Environment Canada and GFS/ECMWF guidance showing subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and Lake Ontario breeze timing. Recent upstream trough passage has kept surface dewpoints moderate, limiting extreme warmth while favoring peak readings near the seasonal 26°C average. Official forecasts emphasize resolution sensitivity to exact insolation and wind shifts on the final model runs before the 24-hour period closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 23. Juli?
25°C 42%
24°C 26%
26°C 21%
23°C 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
26%
25°C
42%
26°C
21%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 42%
24°C 26%
26°C 21%
23°C 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
26%
25°C
42%
26°C
21%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 24–26°C for Toronto’s July 23 maximum reflects short-range model uncertainty in afternoon heating under a weak ridge, with Environment Canada and GFS/ECMWF guidance showing subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and Lake Ontario breeze timing. Recent upstream trough passage has kept surface dewpoints moderate, limiting extreme warmth while favoring peak readings near the seasonal 26°C average. Official forecasts emphasize resolution sensitivity to exact insolation and wind shifts on the final model runs before the 24-hour period closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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