Strong southerly winds and a burst of cooler polar air have locked in forecast maximum temperatures of 9–10°C for Wellington on August 16, aligning with the market’s 93.5% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Official guidance from MetService, the Met Office, and NIWA highlights persistent brisk southerlies, morning showers, and limited daytime warming under cloudy skies, consistent with winter climatology for the region where August highs average near 12°C but frequently dip lower during southerly outbreaks. Model consensus across sources remains tight, with only minor variations possible from timing of frontal passages; a sudden shift to northerly flow or delayed clearing could nudge readings slightly higher, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 16. August?
10°C 95%
11°C 6%
12°C 1.3%
13°C <1%
NEU
$55,073 Vol.
NEU
$55,073 Vol.
16. Aug. 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
95%
11°C
6%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 95%
11°C 6%
12°C 1.3%
13°C <1%
NEU
$55,073 Vol.
NEU
$55,073 Vol.
16. Aug. 2026
4°C or below
$763 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$3,612 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$5,657 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$26,729 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$7,510 Vol.
95%
11°C
$4,574 Vol.
6%
12°C
$2,684 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southerly winds and a burst of cooler polar air have locked in forecast maximum temperatures of 9–10°C for Wellington on August 16, aligning with the market’s 93.5% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Official guidance from MetService, the Met Office, and NIWA highlights persistent brisk southerlies, morning showers, and limited daytime warming under cloudy skies, consistent with winter climatology for the region where August highs average near 12°C but frequently dip lower during southerly outbreaks. Model consensus across sources remains tight, with only minor variations possible from timing of frontal passages; a sudden shift to northerly flow or delayed clearing could nudge readings slightly higher, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$55,073Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southerly winds and a burst of cooler polar air have locked in forecast maximum temperatures of 9–10°C for Wellington on August 16, aligning with the market’s 93.5% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Official guidance from MetService, the Met Office, and NIWA highlights persistent brisk southerlies, morning showers, and limited daytime warming under cloudy skies, consistent with winter climatology for the region where August highs average near 12°C but frequently dip lower during southerly outbreaks. Model consensus across sources remains tight, with only minor variations possible from timing of frontal passages; a sudden shift to northerly flow or delayed clearing could nudge readings slightly higher, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$55,073Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong southerly winds and a burst of cooler polar air have locked in forecast maximum temperatures of 9–10°C for Wellington on August 16, aligning with the market’s 93.5% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Official guidance from MetService, the Met Office, and NIWA highlights persistent brisk southerlies, morning showers, and limited daytime warming under cloudy skies, consistent with winter climatology for the region where August highs average near 12°C but frequently dip lower during southerly outbreaks. Model consensus across sources remains tight, with only minor variations possible from timing of frontal passages; a sudden shift to northerly flow or delayed clearing could nudge readings slightly higher, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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