Updated short-term forecasts from MetService, projecting a daytime maximum near 9–10°C in Wellington on August 16 amid strong southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air and persistent low cloud, form the main driver of trader sentiment. These conditions align with seasonal August averages of about 12–13°C while reflecting a temporary cool anomaly, with model consensus favoring limited diurnal warming and possible showers. Market-implied odds concentrate on 10°C at 63.5 percent, followed by 9°C and 11°C at 18.5 percent each, as aggregated trader assessments incorporate the latest observational trends and forecast revisions ahead of resolution. NIWA’s broader seasonal outlook supports near-average temperatures overall, but near-term atmospheric steering patterns create the narrow uncertainty captured in current positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 16. August?
10°C 64%
9°C 19%
11°C 19%
12°C 3%
NEU
$21,152 Vol.
NEU
$21,152 Vol.
16. Aug. 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
19%
10°C
64%
11°C
19%
12°C
3%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 64%
9°C 19%
11°C 19%
12°C 3%
NEU
$21,152 Vol.
NEU
$21,152 Vol.
16. Aug. 2026
4°C or below
$763 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$2,977 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$2,548 Vol.
2%
9°C
$4,264 Vol.
19%
10°C
$3,728 Vol.
64%
11°C
$2,477 Vol.
19%
12°C
$1,601 Vol.
3%
13°C
$555 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Updated short-term forecasts from MetService, projecting a daytime maximum near 9–10°C in Wellington on August 16 amid strong southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air and persistent low cloud, form the main driver of trader sentiment. These conditions align with seasonal August averages of about 12–13°C while reflecting a temporary cool anomaly, with model consensus favoring limited diurnal warming and possible showers. Market-implied odds concentrate on 10°C at 63.5 percent, followed by 9°C and 11°C at 18.5 percent each, as aggregated trader assessments incorporate the latest observational trends and forecast revisions ahead of resolution. NIWA’s broader seasonal outlook supports near-average temperatures overall, but near-term atmospheric steering patterns create the narrow uncertainty captured in current positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$21,152Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Updated short-term forecasts from MetService, projecting a daytime maximum near 9–10°C in Wellington on August 16 amid strong southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air and persistent low cloud, form the main driver of trader sentiment. These conditions align with seasonal August averages of about 12–13°C while reflecting a temporary cool anomaly, with model consensus favoring limited diurnal warming and possible showers. Market-implied odds concentrate on 10°C at 63.5 percent, followed by 9°C and 11°C at 18.5 percent each, as aggregated trader assessments incorporate the latest observational trends and forecast revisions ahead of resolution. NIWA’s broader seasonal outlook supports near-average temperatures overall, but near-term atmospheric steering patterns create the narrow uncertainty captured in current positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,152Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Updated short-term forecasts from MetService, projecting a daytime maximum near 9–10°C in Wellington on August 16 amid strong southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air and persistent low cloud, form the main driver of trader sentiment. These conditions align with seasonal August averages of about 12–13°C while reflecting a temporary cool anomaly, with model consensus favoring limited diurnal warming and possible showers. Market-implied odds concentrate on 10°C at 63.5 percent, followed by 9°C and 11°C at 18.5 percent each, as aggregated trader assessments incorporate the latest observational trends and forecast revisions ahead of resolution. NIWA’s broader seasonal outlook supports near-average temperatures overall, but near-term atmospheric steering patterns create the narrow uncertainty captured in current positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen