Current short-term forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a daily maximum near 14°C for Wellington on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market's leading 54% implied probability for that outcome. Typical mid-winter conditions feature highs averaging 12–14°C, with recent days recording 13–15°C maxima amid stable atmospheric patterns and no strong blocking highs or intense lows expected. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, though minor timing shifts in frontal passages could nudge readings to 13°C or 15°C, reflected in the 24% and 20.5% probabilities. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA favor near-average temperatures for the period, supporting trader focus on these central outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 15. August?
14°C 47%
13°C 29%
15°C 18%
16°C 6%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
29%
14°C
47%
15°C
18%
16°C
6%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 47%
13°C 29%
15°C 18%
16°C 6%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
$316 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$12 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$351 Vol.
5%
13°C
$987 Vol.
29%
14°C
$421 Vol.
47%
15°C
$409 Vol.
18%
16°C
$118 Vol.
6%
17°C
$12 Vol.
3%
18°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$343 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a daily maximum near 14°C for Wellington on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market's leading 54% implied probability for that outcome. Typical mid-winter conditions feature highs averaging 12–14°C, with recent days recording 13–15°C maxima amid stable atmospheric patterns and no strong blocking highs or intense lows expected. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, though minor timing shifts in frontal passages could nudge readings to 13°C or 15°C, reflected in the 24% and 20.5% probabilities. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA favor near-average temperatures for the period, supporting trader focus on these central outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,081Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a daily maximum near 14°C for Wellington on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market's leading 54% implied probability for that outcome. Typical mid-winter conditions feature highs averaging 12–14°C, with recent days recording 13–15°C maxima amid stable atmospheric patterns and no strong blocking highs or intense lows expected. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, though minor timing shifts in frontal passages could nudge readings to 13°C or 15°C, reflected in the 24% and 20.5% probabilities. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA favor near-average temperatures for the period, supporting trader focus on these central outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,081Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a daily maximum near 14°C for Wellington on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies with light showers and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market's leading 54% implied probability for that outcome. Typical mid-winter conditions feature highs averaging 12–14°C, with recent days recording 13–15°C maxima amid stable atmospheric patterns and no strong blocking highs or intense lows expected. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, though minor timing shifts in frontal passages could nudge readings to 13°C or 15°C, reflected in the 24% and 20.5% probabilities. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA favor near-average temperatures for the period, supporting trader focus on these central outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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