Forecast models for Wellington on August 13, 2026, indicate daytime highs centered on 14–15°C under typical mid-winter conditions, aligning closely with the long-term August average of roughly 13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August, with equal chances of below-average values amid an emerging El Niño pattern that often brings cooler, wetter southerly flows. Short-range guidance shows light winds and possible showers moderating daytime peaks, while recent observations have featured brief cold snaps near freezing that have since eased. These stable atmospheric patterns and model consensus underpin trader positioning around the 14–15°C outcomes, with limited upside potential absent a strong northerly shift before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 13. August?
15°C 55%
14°C 31%
16°C 13%
13°C 4%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
31%
15°C
55%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 55%
14°C 31%
16°C 13%
13°C 4%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
31%
15°C
55%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Wellington on August 13, 2026, indicate daytime highs centered on 14–15°C under typical mid-winter conditions, aligning closely with the long-term August average of roughly 13°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August, with equal chances of below-average values amid an emerging El Niño pattern that often brings cooler, wetter southerly flows. Short-range guidance shows light winds and possible showers moderating daytime peaks, while recent observations have featured brief cold snaps near freezing that have since eased. These stable atmospheric patterns and model consensus underpin trader positioning around the 14–15°C outcomes, with limited upside potential absent a strong northerly shift before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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