Forecast models from sources like NIWA, MetService, and international agencies show Wellington's August 11 maximum likely settling near 12–13°C, reflecting typical winter maritime variability with limited diurnal heating under variable cloud and moderate winds. Northerly flows can briefly elevate readings toward 13°C by advecting milder air, while stronger southerlies or increased cloud cover favor the lower end around 12°C; sea-surface temperatures near 12–14°C further moderate extremes in this coastal setting. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread in the short-range window, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes, with historical August highs averaging 13°C providing context but little resolution power two days out. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the distinction.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 11. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 11. August?
12°C 56%
13°C 36%
11°C 6%
14°C 6%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
6°C oder darunter
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
56%
13°C
36%
14°C
6%
15 °C
<1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
12°C 56%
13°C 36%
11°C 6%
14°C 6%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
6°C oder darunter
$503 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$503 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$27 Vol.
2%
11°C
$658 Vol.
6%
12°C
$1,207 Vol.
56%
13°C
$2,274 Vol.
36%
14°C
$615 Vol.
6%
15 °C
$206 Vol.
<1%
16°C oder höher
$498 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like NIWA, MetService, and international agencies show Wellington's August 11 maximum likely settling near 12–13°C, reflecting typical winter maritime variability with limited diurnal heating under variable cloud and moderate winds. Northerly flows can briefly elevate readings toward 13°C by advecting milder air, while stronger southerlies or increased cloud cover favor the lower end around 12°C; sea-surface temperatures near 12–14°C further moderate extremes in this coastal setting. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread in the short-range window, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes, with historical August highs averaging 13°C providing context but little resolution power two days out. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the distinction.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$7,322Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like NIWA, MetService, and international agencies show Wellington's August 11 maximum likely settling near 12–13°C, reflecting typical winter maritime variability with limited diurnal heating under variable cloud and moderate winds. Northerly flows can briefly elevate readings toward 13°C by advecting milder air, while stronger southerlies or increased cloud cover favor the lower end around 12°C; sea-surface temperatures near 12–14°C further moderate extremes in this coastal setting. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread in the short-range window, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes, with historical August highs averaging 13°C providing context but little resolution power two days out. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the distinction.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,322Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like NIWA, MetService, and international agencies show Wellington's August 11 maximum likely settling near 12–13°C, reflecting typical winter maritime variability with limited diurnal heating under variable cloud and moderate winds. Northerly flows can briefly elevate readings toward 13°C by advecting milder air, while stronger southerlies or increased cloud cover favor the lower end around 12°C; sea-surface temperatures near 12–14°C further moderate extremes in this coastal setting. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread in the short-range window, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes, with historical August highs averaging 13°C providing context but little resolution power two days out. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the distinction.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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