Current short-range forecasts for Istanbul on August 11 show daytime highs centered near 28–31°C under mostly sunny conditions, with models such as the Met Office indicating 28°C while others reach 31°C (88°F). Traders have priced 28°C highest at 51.5% implied probability because of consistent moderating influences from Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, which typically cap peak readings 1–3°C below regional model outputs through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. August climatology features average maxima of 28–30°C, and official resolution relies on Turkish Meteorological Service stations that often record slightly lower values than broader gridded forecasts when afternoon cloud cover or onshore flow develops. No major synoptic shifts are evident in the latest runs, keeping near-term probabilities anchored to these localized effects.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 11. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 11. August?
28°C 53%
27°C 28%
29°C 14%
26°C 6%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
28%
28°C
53%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 53%
27°C 28%
29°C 14%
26°C 6%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$44 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1 Vol.
6%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$311 Vol.
53%
29°C
$64 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$8 Vol.
3%
32°C
$152 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts for Istanbul on August 11 show daytime highs centered near 28–31°C under mostly sunny conditions, with models such as the Met Office indicating 28°C while others reach 31°C (88°F). Traders have priced 28°C highest at 51.5% implied probability because of consistent moderating influences from Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, which typically cap peak readings 1–3°C below regional model outputs through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. August climatology features average maxima of 28–30°C, and official resolution relies on Turkish Meteorological Service stations that often record slightly lower values than broader gridded forecasts when afternoon cloud cover or onshore flow develops. No major synoptic shifts are evident in the latest runs, keeping near-term probabilities anchored to these localized effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$626Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts for Istanbul on August 11 show daytime highs centered near 28–31°C under mostly sunny conditions, with models such as the Met Office indicating 28°C while others reach 31°C (88°F). Traders have priced 28°C highest at 51.5% implied probability because of consistent moderating influences from Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, which typically cap peak readings 1–3°C below regional model outputs through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. August climatology features average maxima of 28–30°C, and official resolution relies on Turkish Meteorological Service stations that often record slightly lower values than broader gridded forecasts when afternoon cloud cover or onshore flow develops. No major synoptic shifts are evident in the latest runs, keeping near-term probabilities anchored to these localized effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$626Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts for Istanbul on August 11 show daytime highs centered near 28–31°C under mostly sunny conditions, with models such as the Met Office indicating 28°C while others reach 31°C (88°F). Traders have priced 28°C highest at 51.5% implied probability because of consistent moderating influences from Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, which typically cap peak readings 1–3°C below regional model outputs through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. August climatology features average maxima of 28–30°C, and official resolution relies on Turkish Meteorological Service stations that often record slightly lower values than broader gridded forecasts when afternoon cloud cover or onshore flow develops. No major synoptic shifts are evident in the latest runs, keeping near-term probabilities anchored to these localized effects.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen