Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance for August-October 2026 calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing regional warming trends, setting the backdrop for elevated daily maxima. Short-range forecast models show a tight cluster around 34–35 °C for August 10, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island effects that can push afternoon readings higher unless interrupted by cloud cover or scattered showers. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in timing of any convective activity and the precise influence of sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea. Traders are closely watching the next HKO daily bulletin and updated numerical guidance, as even modest changes in cloud fraction or wind direction could shift the observed maximum across the 34–35 °C threshold. Historical August peaks frequently reach these values, underscoring the sensitivity of the market to the final 48-hour forecast adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. August?
35°C 37%
34°C 36%
36°C 14%
33°C 8%
NEU
$12,535 Vol.
NEU
$12,535 Vol.
10. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
36%
35°C
37%
36°C
14%
37°C
7%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 37%
34°C 36%
36°C 14%
33°C 8%
NEU
$12,535 Vol.
NEU
$12,535 Vol.
10. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$764 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$739 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$695 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$949 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,052 Vol.
8%
34°C
$1,392 Vol.
36%
35°C
$1,203 Vol.
37%
36°C
$917 Vol.
14%
37°C
$2,174 Vol.
7%
38°C
$2,074 Vol.
4%
39°C or higher
$574 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance for August-October 2026 calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing regional warming trends, setting the backdrop for elevated daily maxima. Short-range forecast models show a tight cluster around 34–35 °C for August 10, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island effects that can push afternoon readings higher unless interrupted by cloud cover or scattered showers. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in timing of any convective activity and the precise influence of sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea. Traders are closely watching the next HKO daily bulletin and updated numerical guidance, as even modest changes in cloud fraction or wind direction could shift the observed maximum across the 34–35 °C threshold. Historical August peaks frequently reach these values, underscoring the sensitivity of the market to the final 48-hour forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$12,535Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance for August-October 2026 calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing regional warming trends, setting the backdrop for elevated daily maxima. Short-range forecast models show a tight cluster around 34–35 °C for August 10, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island effects that can push afternoon readings higher unless interrupted by cloud cover or scattered showers. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in timing of any convective activity and the precise influence of sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea. Traders are closely watching the next HKO daily bulletin and updated numerical guidance, as even modest changes in cloud fraction or wind direction could shift the observed maximum across the 34–35 °C threshold. Historical August peaks frequently reach these values, underscoring the sensitivity of the market to the final 48-hour forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,535Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance for August-October 2026 calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing regional warming trends, setting the backdrop for elevated daily maxima. Short-range forecast models show a tight cluster around 34–35 °C for August 10, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island effects that can push afternoon readings higher unless interrupted by cloud cover or scattered showers. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in timing of any convective activity and the precise influence of sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea. Traders are closely watching the next HKO daily bulletin and updated numerical guidance, as even modest changes in cloud fraction or wind direction could shift the observed maximum across the 34–35 °C threshold. Historical August peaks frequently reach these values, underscoring the sensitivity of the market to the final 48-hour forecast adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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