Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical models indicate mainly fine to cloudy conditions with light winds and moderate humidity on August 10, limiting overnight radiative cooling and positioning minimum temperatures near 29°C. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for 29°C, ahead of 28°C at 29%, as urban heat retention and weak steering flow sustain elevated overnight readings consistent with seasonal normals to above-normal August patterns. Model consensus shows low risk of significant drops from typhoon influences or stronger monsoon surges in the immediate window, though scattered showers could introduce minor variability. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors heavily against historical climatology favoring lows clustered around 27–29°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. August?
29°C 55%
28°C 29%
30°C 13%
26°C 9%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
29%
29°C
55%
30°C
13%
31°C
5%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
29°C 55%
28°C 29%
30°C 13%
26°C 9%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$32 Vol.
1%
25°C
$27 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$63 Vol.
55%
30°C
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C
$36 Vol.
5%
32°C
$27 Vol.
8%
33°C
$22 Vol.
1%
34°C oder höher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical models indicate mainly fine to cloudy conditions with light winds and moderate humidity on August 10, limiting overnight radiative cooling and positioning minimum temperatures near 29°C. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for 29°C, ahead of 28°C at 29%, as urban heat retention and weak steering flow sustain elevated overnight readings consistent with seasonal normals to above-normal August patterns. Model consensus shows low risk of significant drops from typhoon influences or stronger monsoon surges in the immediate window, though scattered showers could introduce minor variability. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors heavily against historical climatology favoring lows clustered around 27–29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$228Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical models indicate mainly fine to cloudy conditions with light winds and moderate humidity on August 10, limiting overnight radiative cooling and positioning minimum temperatures near 29°C. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for 29°C, ahead of 28°C at 29%, as urban heat retention and weak steering flow sustain elevated overnight readings consistent with seasonal normals to above-normal August patterns. Model consensus shows low risk of significant drops from typhoon influences or stronger monsoon surges in the immediate window, though scattered showers could introduce minor variability. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors heavily against historical climatology favoring lows clustered around 27–29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$228Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical models indicate mainly fine to cloudy conditions with light winds and moderate humidity on August 10, limiting overnight radiative cooling and positioning minimum temperatures near 29°C. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for 29°C, ahead of 28°C at 29%, as urban heat retention and weak steering flow sustain elevated overnight readings consistent with seasonal normals to above-normal August patterns. Model consensus shows low risk of significant drops from typhoon influences or stronger monsoon surges in the immediate window, though scattered showers could introduce minor variability. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors heavily against historical climatology favoring lows clustered around 27–29°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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