Ongoing national heatwave conditions, with South Korea posting record highs near 42.5°C days earlier and Seoul-area readings reaching 39°C, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C for the Incheon station maximum on August 8. Persistent high-pressure ridging favors strong daytime heating and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, yet short-range KMA and ensemble guidance show modest spread from variable cloud cover, light easterly flow, and any late-day shower potential that could cap the peak. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C highlight how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the observed 35°C lead, with resolution hinging on the official 9 a.m.–5 p.m. KMA reading at the coastal station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 8. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 8. August?
35°C 31%
36°C 24%
34°C 22%
33°C 18%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34°C
22%
35°C
31%
36°C
24%
37°C
10%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 31%
36°C 24%
34°C 22%
33°C 18%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
$66 Vol.
3%
32°C
$23 Vol.
3%
33°C
$285 Vol.
18%
34°C
$68 Vol.
22%
35°C
$42 Vol.
31%
36°C
$9 Vol.
24%
37°C
$18 Vol.
10%
38°C
$25 Vol.
6%
39°C
$32 Vol.
1%
40°C
$88 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing national heatwave conditions, with South Korea posting record highs near 42.5°C days earlier and Seoul-area readings reaching 39°C, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C for the Incheon station maximum on August 8. Persistent high-pressure ridging favors strong daytime heating and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, yet short-range KMA and ensemble guidance show modest spread from variable cloud cover, light easterly flow, and any late-day shower potential that could cap the peak. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C highlight how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the observed 35°C lead, with resolution hinging on the official 9 a.m.–5 p.m. KMA reading at the coastal station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$809Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing national heatwave conditions, with South Korea posting record highs near 42.5°C days earlier and Seoul-area readings reaching 39°C, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C for the Incheon station maximum on August 8. Persistent high-pressure ridging favors strong daytime heating and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, yet short-range KMA and ensemble guidance show modest spread from variable cloud cover, light easterly flow, and any late-day shower potential that could cap the peak. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C highlight how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the observed 35°C lead, with resolution hinging on the official 9 a.m.–5 p.m. KMA reading at the coastal station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$809Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing national heatwave conditions, with South Korea posting record highs near 42.5°C days earlier and Seoul-area readings reaching 39°C, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C for the Incheon station maximum on August 8. Persistent high-pressure ridging favors strong daytime heating and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, yet short-range KMA and ensemble guidance show modest spread from variable cloud cover, light easterly flow, and any late-day shower potential that could cap the peak. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C highlight how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the observed 35°C lead, with resolution hinging on the official 9 a.m.–5 p.m. KMA reading at the coastal station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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